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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Osnabruck vs Eintracht Braunschweig

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Cercle Brugge vs Gent

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Greuther Furth vs Heidenheim

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Grorud vs Rana

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Thisted vs Nykobing

Football · 2 division

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.80 · +4.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IF

Football · 1st Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.40 · −9.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai

Football · V-league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.95 · −1.5% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Birmingham City vs Wolverhampton

Football · Championship

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

Amorebieta vs Arosa

Football · Segunda RFEF. Group 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.00 · −3.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 13h before

Groningen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.02 · +8.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Minsk

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Gwangju

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 4h before

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.18 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:3

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.82 · +2.2% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

LG Twins vs Samsung Lions

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-10

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Osnabruck vs Eintracht BraunschweigFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—3-1LOST
Cercle Brugge vs GentFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-3WON
Greuther Furth vs HeidenheimFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1WON
Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai ThaniFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-4LOST
Grorud vs RanaFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV4-2WON
Thisted vs NykobingFootball · 2 division2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.80 · +4.0% CLV0-3WON
Orenburg vs Akron TolyattiFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV2-2LOST
Mlada Boleslav vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV4-0WON
Aarhus Fremad vs Kolding IFFootball · 1st Division2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.40 · −9.4% CLV2-1WON
Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou HakkaFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV5-1WON
Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia LaiFootball · V-league2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV4-0WON
Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing CityFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.95 · −1.5% CLV2-0WON
Birmingham City vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1:1WON
Amorebieta vs ArosaFootball · Segunda RFEF. Group 12026-09-06first seen 13h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.00 · −3.4% CLV2-2LOST
Groningen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.02 · +8.0% CLV2-2LOST
Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen NagasakiFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV3:1WON
Naftan Novopolotsk vs MinskFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV0-3WON
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV0-2LOST
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV0-0LOST
Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague2026-09-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV2-2LOST
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.18 · −3.1% CLV1:3WON
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—1:3WON
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV3:2LOST
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.82 · +2.2% CLV0:1LOST
LG Twins vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4-10WON

201–225 of 3913

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.