Tensung vs Drukpa
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Liga MX
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · MLS
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 41m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tensung vs DrukpaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Borneo vs Bali UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.48 · −3.3% CLV | 2:0 | LOST |
| Ramnicu Valcea vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.65 · −11.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Viktoria Zizkov vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Unicov vs SC Uhersky BrodFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Gamba Osaka vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.15 · +6.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Ansan Greeners vs FC CheongjuFootball · K League 2 | first seen 44m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Basel vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 7:2 | WON |
| Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| LG Twins vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Lotte Giants vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 13-6 | LOST |
| Club America vs Chivas GuadalajaraFootball · Liga MX | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Portland Timbers vs Atlanta UnitedFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.88 · −2.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Saprissa vs HeredianoFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Phoenix Rising vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-8 | WON |
| Real Espana vs MotaguaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 41m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 41m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Colorado Rapids vs Seattle SoundersFootball · MLS | first seen 41m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Melgar vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.