Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Cukaricki
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague
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Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs CukarickiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Amedspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Goztepe vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Partizani TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Viborg vs NordsjaellandFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Slavia Prague vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mura vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Skalica vs Zeleziarne PodbrezovaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Tromso vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Erzurumspor BB vs SamsunsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Trans Narva vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| FC Tirana vs ElbasaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs EyupsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.17 · 0.0% CLV | 8-0 | WON |
| Bravo vs Olimpija LjubljanaFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Jablonec vs Fastav ZlinFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.42 · −7.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Surkhon vs Kokand 1912Football · Superleague | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Sonderjyske vs RandersFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Vaduz vs ThunFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Viking vs LillestromFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme KaljuFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Hradec Kralove vs TepliceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
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