Viking vs Lillestrom
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV
- Score
- 3:0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Virsliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Handball · Star League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking vs LillestromFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Sukhothai vs Port BangkokFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme KaljuFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Energie Cottbus vs St. PauliFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Arminia Bielefeld vs HeidenheimFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kladno vs PribramFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sundsvall vs LjungskileFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.85 · +10.1% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Rayong vs FC RatchaburiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ogre United vs Super NovaFootball · Virsliga | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.08 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Celtic vs RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hradec Kralove vs TepliceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Thisted vs BrabrandFootball · 2 division | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Chonburi vs Buriram UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Voluntari vs Universitatea ClujFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Fiorentina vs NapoliFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Juventus U23 vs AlbinoleffeFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 3-5 | WON |
| Feyenoord vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Piast Gliwice vs Pogon SzczecinFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Montpellier Handball vs HBC NantesHandball · Star League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 2.20 · +14.6% CLV | 38:28 | WON |
| Pohang Steelers vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Seongnam vs HwaseongFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Incheon United vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 10-1 | LOST |
| Macva Sabac vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.