Eupen vs RFC Liege
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Division 2
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Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Division 2
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Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
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· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
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· first seen 46m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eupen vs RFC LiegeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Hasselt vs Beerschot WilrijkFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Katwijk vs De TreffersFootball · Division 2 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| ROHDA Raalte vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 2 | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Fernando de la Mora vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| GVVV Veenendaal vs KloetingeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| RKAV Volendam vs BarendrechtFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Koninklijke vs AmsterdamFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Rijnsburgse Boys vs Quick BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Santani vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Lara vs Union Atletico El VigiaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Benjamin Aceval vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Porto 2 vs VizelaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.87 · +2.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Universidad San Martín vs Academia CantolaoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.32 · −7.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union ComercioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs EupenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Amarante vs LeiriaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sol de America vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Chaves vs FeirenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Capiata vs Deportivo SantaniFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Union Minas vs Santos IcaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.65 · +25.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| De Treffers vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Seraing vs HasseltFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Resistencia vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
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