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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Soroksar vs Tiszakecske

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 43m before

Kladno vs Pribram

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Ramnicu Valcea vs Bihor Oradea

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.65 · −11.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Viktoria Zizkov vs Trinec

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SE

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Tatran Presov vs Samorin

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

Diosgyori vs Gyirmot

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Ajka vs Aqvital Csakvar

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Mezokovesd Zsory vs Kazincbarcika

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Colchester United vs Cheltenham Town

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.65 · +2.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Salford City vs Swindon Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Forfar vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.45 · +14.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Chesterfield vs York City

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Barnet vs Fleetwood Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Northampton Town vs Rotherham

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Accrington Stanley vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Exeter City vs Tranmere Rovers

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Nagykanizsa vs Fehervar

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Dynamo Malzenice

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 40m before

Bytca vs Banik Lehota

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 40m before

Humenne vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 40m before

FC Elva vs Tallinn

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Rochdale vs Oldham

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Popesti Leordeni vs ASU Politehnica Timisoara

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Soroksar vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV3-3LOST
Kladno vs PribramFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-2WON
Ramnicu Valcea vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.65 · −11.8% CLV3-2LOST
Viktoria Zizkov vs TrinecFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0LOST
Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV1:1LOST
Tatran Presov vs SamorinFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1WON
Diosgyori vs GyirmotFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV2-0LOST
Ajka vs Aqvital CsakvarFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV1-0WON
Mezokovesd Zsory vs KazincbarcikaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—4-1LOST
Colchester United vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.65 · +2.8% CLV1-1LOST
Salford City vs Swindon TownFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
Forfar vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.45 · +14.0% CLV1-0LOST
Gillingham vs Bristol RoversFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-0WON
Chesterfield vs York CityFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-0LOST
Barnet vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-1WON
Northampton Town vs RotherhamFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-1WON
Accrington Stanley vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Exeter City vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Nagykanizsa vs FehervarFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Dynamo MalzeniceFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 40m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2WON
Bytca vs Banik LehotaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 40m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV2-1LOST
Humenne vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 40m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV1-1LOST
FC Elva vs TallinnFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Rochdale vs OldhamFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-0LOST
Popesti Leordeni vs ASU Politehnica TimisoaraFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-4LOST

1–25 of 225· 132 won / 93 lost · −33.7u · −15.0% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.