Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 21m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Football · Liga MX
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11m before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 11m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Matches for the right to play in the Copa Sudamericana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 38m before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Brazil. Series A1. Semi-finals. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Kamloops Blazers vs Victoria RoyalsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Monterrey vs Cruz AzulFootball · Liga MX | first seen 11m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 11m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Real Sireti vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2:1 | LOST |
| Horsens vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 4.05+30561/203.05+3.05-0.33from 4.10 · +1.2% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-3 | WON |
| Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 8-4 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Guayaquil City vs Leones del NorteFootball · Premier League. Matches for the right to play in the Copa Sudamericana | first seen 38m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Genesis vs OlanchoFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 38m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro LargoFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Manchester City vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.36-2789/250.36-2.78+0.36from 1.33 · −2.2% CLV | 5:3 | WON |
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Serie A | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.95 · −3.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cacahuatique vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Gualaceo vs LDU PortoviejoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Cristal vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 7.80+68034/56.80+6.80-0.15from 7.80 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Maringa vs Botafogo ParaibaFootball · Serie C | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Orlando Pride (w) vs Portland Thorns (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Union Santa Fe vs IndependienteFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sao Paulo (w) vs Flamengo RJ (w)Football · Brazil. Series A1. Semi-finals. Second leg | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Sport Recife vs Juventude RSFootball · Serie B | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.