When tipsters agree, does it pay?
Where several tracked tipsters backed the same market, here is how they split — and whether the pick most of them made actually landed.
- Crowds
- 2,406
- Tipsters
- 1,070
- Sources
- 14
- Corpus covered
- 43.3%
| Fixture | Selection | Tipsters | Stake | Odds | Diff | Tips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking vs Dinamo ZagrebOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026landed | Over | 70.3% | 8.6% | 2.02 | -62pp | 37 |
| Under | 29.7% | 91.4% | 1.92 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 26
and 18 more Under · 11
and 3 more | ||||||
| Lyon vs FenerbahceOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026landed | Over | 69.7% | 36.5% | 1.91 | -33pp | 33 |
| Under | 30.3% | 63.5% | 1.94 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 23
and 15 more Under · 10
and 2 more | ||||||
| Real Sociedad vs Atletico MadridMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2713 Sept 2026missed | Away | 46.9% | 44.3% | 1.82 | -3pp | 32 |
| Draw | 34.4% | 34.8% | 4.56 | |||
| Home | 18.8% | 20.9% | 4.79 | |||
Who backed thisAway · 15
and 7 more Draw · 11
and 3 more Home · 6
| ||||||
| Manchester City vs Norwich CityOver/Under · League Cup. Third round17 Sept 2026missed | Over | 67.9% | 94.6% | 1.80 | +27pp | 28 |
| Under | 32.1% | 5.4% | 1.91 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 19
and 11 more Under · 9
and 1 more | ||||||
| Real Madrid vs Real SociedadOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2726 Aug 2026landed | Over | 64.0% | 82.5% | 1.99 | +18pp | 25 |
| Under | 36.0% | 17.5% | 1.95 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 16
and 8 more Under · 9
and 1 more | ||||||
| AEK Athens vs Levski SofiaOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026missed | Over | 66.7% | 63.4% | 1.94 | -3pp | 24 |
| Under | 33.3% | 36.6% | 2.97 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 16
and 8 more Under · 8
| ||||||
| Barcelona vs FeyenoordOver/Under · League phasedate unverifiedlanded | Over | 77.3% | 93.3% | 1.99 | +16pp | 22 |
| Under | 22.7% | 6.7% | 2.00 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 17
and 9 more | ||||||
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs TokyoOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedmissedone source | Over | 65.0% | 3.8% | 2.01 | -61pp | 20 |
| Under | 35.0% | 96.2% | 1.85 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 13
and 5 more Under · 7
| ||||||
| Real Sociedad vs EspanyolMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2729 Aug 2026landed | Home | 94.7% | 100.0% | 3.00 | +5pp | 19 |
| Draw | 5.3% | 0.0% | — | |||
Who backed thisHome · 18
and 10 more Draw · 1
| ||||||
| Sirius vs HackenOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedmissed | Over | 63.2% | 80.9% | 2.05 | +18pp | 19 |
| Under | 36.8% | 19.1% | 1.96 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 12
and 4 more Under · 7
| ||||||
| Elche vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2715 Sept 2026landed | Over | 88.9% | 92.7% | 1.97 | +4pp | 18 |
| Under | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.81 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 16
and 8 more Under · 2
| ||||||
| Valencia vs BarcelonaOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/276 Sept 2026landed | Over | 83.3% | 71.1% | 1.95 | -12pp | 18 |
| Under | 16.7% | 28.9% | 2.04 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 15
and 7 more Under · 3
| ||||||
| Barcelona vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/27date unverifiedlandedone source | Over | 77.8% | 89.1% | 2.00 | +11pp | 18 |
| Under | 22.2% | 10.9% | 1.97 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 14
and 6 more Under · 4
| ||||||
| Sochaux vs GuingampOver/Under · Ligue 2date unverifiedmissed | Over | 66.7% | 57.1% | 1.98 | -10pp | 18 |
| Under | 33.3% | 42.9% | 2.03 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 12
and 4 more Under · 6
| ||||||
| Atalanta vs BolognaOver/Under · Serie A. Season 26/27date unverifiedmissed | Over | 64.7% | 64.7% | 1.92 | 0pp | 17 |
| Under | 35.3% | 35.3% | 1.96 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 11
and 3 more Under · 6
| ||||||
| Elche vs Real MadridMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2715 Sept 2026landed | Away | 62.5% | 41.9% | 1.78 | -21pp | 16 |
| Draw | 18.8% | 30.2% | 3.58 | |||
| Home | 18.8% | 27.9% | 7.66 | |||
Who backed thisAway · 10
and 2 more Draw · 3
Home · 3
| ||||||
| Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2720 Sept 2026landed | Over | 86.7% | 85.1% | 5.44 | -2pp | 15 |
| Under | 13.3% | 14.9% | 7.98 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 13
and 5 more Under · 2
| ||||||
| Sassuolo vs JuventusOver/Under · Serie A. Season 26/2712 Sept 2026landed | Over | 93.3% | 90.8% | 2.05 | -3pp | 15 |
| Under | 6.7% | 9.2% | 1.70 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 14
and 6 more Under · 1
| ||||||
| Arsenal vs ChelseaMatch winner · Premier League. Season 26/276 Sept 2026missed | Home | 86.7% | 91.7% | 1.59 | +5pp | 15 |
| Away | 6.7% | 4.2% | 21.00 | |||
| Draw | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.83 | |||
Who backed thisHome · 13
and 5 more Away · 1
Draw · 1
| ||||||
| Arsenal vs Coventry CityOver/Under · Premier League. Season 26/2721 Aug 2026landed | Over | 53.3% | 63.2% | 1.94 | +10pp | 15 |
| Under | 46.7% | 36.8% | 1.94 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 8
Under · 7
| ||||||
| Borussia Dortmund vs VillarrealMatch winner · League phasedate unverifiedlanded | Home | 86.7% | 69.2% | 1.78 | -17pp | 15 |
| Away | 6.7% | 15.4% | 4.92 | |||
| Draw | 6.7% | 15.4% | 4.27 | |||
Who backed thisHome · 13
and 5 more Away · 1
Draw · 1
| ||||||
| Stuttgart vs VikingOver/Under · League phasedate unverifiedlanded | Over | 66.7% | 80.5% | 2.13 | +14pp | 15 |
| Under | 33.3% | 19.5% | 1.99 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 10
and 2 more | ||||||
| Ipswich Town vs ArsenalOver/Under · League Cup. Third round15 Sept 2026landed | Over | 92.9% | 100.0% | 1.67 | +7pp | 14 |
| Under | 7.1% | 0.0% | 1.50 | |||
Who backed thisOver · 13
and 5 more Under · 1
| ||||||
| Sevilla vs ValenciaMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2711 Sept 2026landed | Home | 50.0% | 91.7% | 2.01 | +42pp | 14 |
| Draw | 42.9% | 8.3% | 3.27 | |||
| Away | 7.1% | 0.0% | 3.80 | |||
Who backed thisHome · 7
Draw · 6
Away · 1
| ||||||
| Napoli vs ArsenalMatch winner · League phase9 Sept 2026landed | Away | 85.7% | 90.0% | 1.75 | +4pp | 14 |
| Draw | 14.3% | 10.0% | 3.87 | |||
Who backed thisAway · 12
and 4 more | ||||||
- Viking vs Dinamo ZagrebOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026landed-62pp37 tips
- Over
- tipsters70.3%
- stake8.6%
- odds2.02
- Under
- tipsters29.7%
- stake91.4%
- odds1.92
Who backed this
Over · 26
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.03won
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.98won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%2.00won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.98won
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.98won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.03won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.98won
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%3.61lost
and 18 more
Under · 11
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.93lost
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.93lost
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.93void
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.93lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.93void
- eko2710asianbookie111 picks · 60.4% · -14.96%1.93void
- Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%1.88lost
- dangdung35asianbookie69 picks · 49.3% · -67.36%1.93lost
and 3 more
- Lyon vs FenerbahceOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026landed-33pp33 tips
- Over
- tipsters69.7%
- stake36.5%
- odds1.91
- Under
- tipsters30.3%
- stake63.5%
- odds1.94
Who backed this
Over · 23
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.00won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%2.00won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.98won
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%2.00won
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.22won
- Enszi Diamondblogabet235 picks · 55.3% · +5.07%1.92lost
- Enszi Diamondblogabet235 picks · 55.3% · +5.07%1.73lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.00won
and 15 more
Under · 10
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.00won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.00won
- Tuan77asianbookie87 picks · 49.4% · +78.35%2.00won
- Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%1.85won
- Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%1.90won
- DHTasianbookienot enough tracked yet2.00won
- DHTasianbookienot enough tracked yet1.85won
- Jov1972asianbookienot enough tracked yet2.00won
and 2 more
- Real Sociedad vs Atletico MadridMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2713 Sept 2026missed-3pp32 tips
- Away
- tipsters46.9%
- stake44.3%
- odds1.82
- Draw
- tipsters34.4%
- stake34.8%
- odds4.56
- Home
- tipsters18.8%
- stake20.9%
- odds4.79
Who backed this
Away · 15
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%1.42lost
- Win in Silenceblogabet228 picks · 59.2% · +10.79%1.73lost
- bamboocha72blogabet205 picks · 51.2% · -8.30%1.45lost
- LVbetsblogabet118 picks · 50.0% · -15.53%1.42lost
- Cornerprestigeblogabet114 picks · 41.2% · -6.71%1.83lost
- Cornerprestigeblogabet114 picks · 41.2% · -6.71%1.83lost
- SaPariepopetteblogabet108 picks · 43.5% · +25.09%1.47lost
- ProgressionBetblogabet90 picks · 57.8% · +1.77%1.57lost
and 7 more
Draw · 11
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%lost
- Richard939blogabet80 picks · 25.0% · -25.54%5.00lost
- EdgarTrentoddspedianot enough tracked yet3.50lost
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet5.00lost
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet5.00lost
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet5.00lost
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet5.00lost
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet5.00lost
and 3 more
Home · 6
- FabioloITFtennisblogabet54 picks · 66.7% · +39.45%1.95won
- fyrwilderoddspedianot enough tracked yet2.80won
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet6.00won
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet6.00won
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet6.00won
- K19blogabetnot enough tracked yet6.00won
- Manchester City vs Norwich CityOver/Under · League Cup. Third round17 Sept 2026missed+27pp28 tips
- Over
- tipsters67.9%
- stake94.6%
- odds1.80
- Under
- tipsters32.1%
- stake5.4%
- odds1.91
Who backed this
Over · 19
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.93lost
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.25lost
- Elite Tip Masterblogabet271 picks · 57.9% · +66.34%1.51lost
- PippiBetblogabet238 picks · 42.9% · -3.71%1.56lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.93lost
- Fortune Hunterblogabet218 picks · 58.7% · -1.19%1.77won
- Fortune Hunterblogabet218 picks · 58.7% · -1.19%1.49lost
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%2.20won
and 11 more
Under · 9
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.95won
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.90won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.95won
- goodyear1asianbookie212 picks · 53.8% · +69.19%1.90won
- Penaldoasianbookie111 picks · 49.5% · +16.60%1.90won
- johnc14blogabet80 picks · 56.3% · +10.32%1.94won
- Jg22asianbookie63 picks · 50.8% · +61.28%1.95won
- Jg22asianbookie63 picks · 50.8% · +61.28%1.90won
and 1 more
- Real Madrid vs Real SociedadOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2726 Aug 2026landed+18pp25 tips
- Over
- tipsters64.0%
- stake82.5%
- odds1.99
- Under
- tipsters36.0%
- stake17.5%
- odds1.95
Who backed this
Over · 16
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.95won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.03won
- Versustips11blogabet218 picks · 43.1% · -20.41%1.92void
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%3.69won
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.81won
- sherbisblogabet185 picks · 48.1% · -1.70%1.83won
- Arvis Petunovsblogabet173 picks · 44.5% · -16.99%1.89lost
- Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%1.85lost
and 8 more
Under · 9
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.03won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.03won
- Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%2.03won
- Tuan77asianbookie87 picks · 49.4% · +78.35%2.03won
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.90won
- Celedaasianbookie70 picks · 48.6% · -6.36%1.90won
- NiNaNiasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · -29.57%1.90won
- Poonbijovasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · +5.58%1.90won
and 1 more
- AEK Athens vs Levski SofiaOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg26 Aug 2026missed-3pp24 tips
- Over
- tipsters66.7%
- stake63.4%
- odds1.94
- Under
- tipsters33.3%
- stake36.6%
- odds2.97
Who backed this
Over · 16
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.08lost
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.85won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.85won
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.85won
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.29won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.08lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.85won
- VeryBadTipsterblogabet188 picks · 65.4% · +60.23%2.10lost
and 8 more
Under · 8
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.91won
- VeryBadTipsterblogabet188 picks · 65.4% · +60.23%1.73lost
- SIXFOOTERasianbookie107 picks · 47.7% · -45.16%2.08won
- Placeholderblogabet98 picks · 48.0% · -14.11%1.67lost
- Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%2.08won
- 92lukoddspedianot enough tracked yet10.10lost
- DHTasianbookienot enough tracked yet2.08won
- Lkg2600asianbookienot enough tracked yet2.08won
- Barcelona vs FeyenoordOver/Under · League phasedate unverifiedlanded+16pp22 tips
- Over
- tipsters77.3%
- stake93.3%
- odds1.99
- Under
- tipsters22.7%
- stake6.7%
- odds2.00
Who backed this
Over · 17
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.98won
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.61lost
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.98lost
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%2.28lost
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.79void
- Kolyvanoffblogabet188 picks · 52.7% · +4.52%1.76lost
- TheAdvisorblogabet149 picks · 69.1% · +22.11%1.68lost
- esendalpicksblogabet106 picks · 62.3% · +29.68%1.95won
and 9 more
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs TokyoOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedmissedone source-61pp20 tips
- Over
- tipsters65.0%
- stake3.8%
- odds2.01
- Under
- tipsters35.0%
- stake96.2%
- odds1.85
Who backed this
Over · 13
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.05lost
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%2.00lost
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%2.05lost
- Penaldoasianbookie111 picks · 49.5% · +16.60%2.05lost
- Penaldoasianbookie111 picks · 49.5% · +16.60%2.00lost
- Penaldoasianbookie111 picks · 49.5% · +16.60%1.98lost
- xiquaasianbookie61 picks · 49.2% · -5.69%1.98lost
- xiquaasianbookie61 picks · 49.2% · -5.69%2.00lost
and 5 more
Under · 7
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.83won
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.83won
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.88won
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.83won
- goodyear1asianbookie212 picks · 53.8% · +69.19%1.83won
- goodyear1asianbookie212 picks · 53.8% · +69.19%1.88won
- xiquaasianbookie61 picks · 49.2% · -5.69%1.88won
- Real Sociedad vs EspanyolMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2729 Aug 2026landed+5pp19 tips
- Home
- tipsters94.7%
- stake100.0%
- odds3.00
- Draw
- tipsters5.3%
- stake0.0%
- odds—
Who backed this
Home · 18
- Nik Galisblogabet257 picks · 56.4% · +10.59%1.61won
- Wolf722blogabet232 picks · 62.1% · +0.51%1.53won
- BetMotivblogabet201 picks · 59.2% · +45.95%1.53won
- QUIMICOblogabet126 picks · 55.6% · +12.61%2.00won
- SaPariepopetteblogabet108 picks · 43.5% · +25.09%1.44won
- Nikitasblogabet69 picks · 56.5% · -19.45%1.45won
- Becksouloddspedianot enough tracked yet1.80won
- Blackmambaablogabetnot enough tracked yet4.45won
and 10 more
Draw · 1
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%lost
- Sirius vs HackenOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedmissed+18pp19 tips
- Over
- tipsters63.2%
- stake80.9%
- odds2.05
- Under
- tipsters36.8%
- stake19.1%
- odds1.96
Who backed this
Over · 12
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.95lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.95lost
- Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%1.88lost
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%4.43lost
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%2.21lost
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%2.17lost
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%1.69void
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%1.53lost
and 4 more
Under · 7
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.90won
- TanJovisasianbookie110 picks · 50.9% · +70.66%1.95won
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.98won
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.95won
- NiNaNiasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · -29.57%1.98won
- Poonbijovasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · +5.58%1.98won
- Poonbijovasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · +5.58%1.95won
- Elche vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2715 Sept 2026landed+4pp18 tips
- Over
- tipsters88.9%
- stake92.7%
- odds1.97
- Under
- tipsters11.1%
- stake7.3%
- odds1.81
Who backed this
Over · 16
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.95won
- Raven25blogabet225 picks · 53.8% · -5.33%1.44won
- goodyear1asianbookie212 picks · 53.8% · +69.19%1.95won
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%1.73won
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%2.50won
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%2.38won
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%1.83lost
- imperoBetblogabet200 picks · 51.5% · +5.31%3.57won
and 8 more
Under · 2
- imperoBetblogabet200 picks · 51.5% · +5.31%1.66lost
- Longtermoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.96lost
- Valencia vs BarcelonaOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/276 Sept 2026landed-12pp18 tips
- Over
- tipsters83.3%
- stake71.1%
- odds1.95
- Under
- tipsters16.7%
- stake28.9%
- odds2.04
Who backed this
Over · 15
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.03won
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.88won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.88won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%2.03won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%2.00won
- Skoreablogabet261 picks · 51.3% · +3.76%2.02won
- Skoreablogabet261 picks · 51.3% · +3.76%2.03won
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%2.03won
and 7 more
Under · 3
- Enszi Diamondblogabet235 picks · 55.3% · +5.07%2.27lost
- Fortune Hunterblogabet218 picks · 58.7% · -1.19%1.75lost
- ChaosIsMe!blogabet154 picks · 53.2% · +5.78%2.11lost
- Barcelona vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/27date unverifiedlandedone source+11pp18 tips
- Over
- tipsters77.8%
- stake89.1%
- odds2.00
- Under
- tipsters22.2%
- stake10.9%
- odds1.97
Who backed this
Over · 14
- TheAdvisorblogabet149 picks · 69.1% · +22.11%1.65lost
- The Spanish Sorcererblogabet147 picks · 52.4% · -3.18%1.81won
- esendalpicksblogabet106 picks · 62.3% · +29.68%1.73won
- Archer S.blogabet105 picks · 40.0% · -8.90%1.91won
- dejano24blogabet95 picks · 44.2% · +3.70%1.65won
- dejano24blogabet95 picks · 44.2% · +3.70%1.66won
- AURAFARMblogabet80 picks · 61.3% · +96.86%2.55won
- AURAFARMblogabet80 picks · 61.3% · +96.86%1.83lost
and 6 more
Under · 4
- TheCardHunterblogabet68 picks · 58.8% · +13.39%1.73lost
- VladANTblogabet65 picks · 55.4% · +24.14%2.37won
- JesusHasYourBackblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.88won
- Jinxedblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.91lost
- Sochaux vs GuingampOver/Under · Ligue 2date unverifiedmissed-10pp18 tips
- Over
- tipsters66.7%
- stake57.1%
- odds1.98
- Under
- tipsters33.3%
- stake42.9%
- odds2.03
Who backed this
Over · 12
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.00lost
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%2.03lost
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%2.03lost
- TanJovisasianbookie110 picks · 50.9% · +70.66%1.93lost
- TanJovisasianbookie110 picks · 50.9% · +70.66%2.00lost
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%2.00lost
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.93lost
- Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%2.00lost
and 4 more
Under · 6
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.83won
- Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%1.83won
- TanJovisasianbookie110 picks · 50.9% · +70.66%1.83won
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.83won
- sempretuniblogabet62 picks · 40.3% · +16.82%3.04lost
- Poonbijovasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · +5.58%1.83won
- Atalanta vs BolognaOver/Under · Serie A. Season 26/27date unverifiedmissed0pp17 tips
- Over
- tipsters64.7%
- stake64.7%
- odds1.92
- Under
- tipsters35.3%
- stake35.3%
- odds1.96
Who backed this
Over · 11
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.90lost
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.95lost
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.95lost
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.90lost
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.30lost
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.95lost
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.90lost
- goodyear1asianbookie212 picks · 53.8% · +69.19%1.90lost
and 3 more
Under · 6
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.93won
- jacksontiongasianbookie418 picks · 54.5% · +21.32%1.93won
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%1.93won
- Chiyauasianbookie48 picks · 54.2% · +3.79%1.98won
- aadhezdasianbookie47 picks · 51.1% · -2.00%1.98won
- myboss24asianbookie36 picks · 66.7% · +78.58%1.98won
- Elche vs Real MadridMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2715 Sept 2026landed-21pp16 tips
- Away
- tipsters62.5%
- stake41.9%
- odds1.78
- Draw
- tipsters18.8%
- stake30.2%
- odds3.58
- Home
- tipsters18.8%
- stake27.9%
- odds7.66
Who backed this
Away · 10
- Vitibet Algorithmvitibet6,218 picks · 63.3% · -6.78%won
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%won
- Adibetadibet382 picks · 75.7%won
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%2.18won
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%1.23won
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.30won
- Nik Galisblogabet257 picks · 56.4% · +10.59%2.75won
- bamboocha72blogabet205 picks · 51.2% · -8.30%2.22won
and 2 more
Draw · 3
- MatthieW WeihttaMblogabet134 picks · 25.4% · -14.02%3.56lost
- SaPariepopetteblogabet108 picks · 43.5% · +25.09%3.63lost
- ValueEdgeblogabet100 picks · 25.0% · -17.58%3.56lost
Home · 3
- MatthieW WeihttaMblogabet134 picks · 25.4% · -14.02%2.99lost
- Richard939blogabet80 picks · 25.0% · -25.54%12.00lost
- KennyCln19oddspedianot enough tracked yet8.00lost
- Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2720 Sept 2026landed-2pp15 tips
- Over
- tipsters86.7%
- stake85.1%
- odds5.44
- Under
- tipsters13.3%
- stake14.9%
- odds7.98
Who backed this
Over · 13
- Aldinhoblogabet300 picks · 51.0% · -6.46%1.75lost
- thegreentipsterblogabet219 picks · 57.1% · -6.12%1.50won
- ErnestoPVblogabet134 picks · 48.5% · +2.74%1.61won
- Bora1983blogabet121 picks · 57.9% · +28.31%1.52won
- Bora1983blogabet121 picks · 57.9% · +28.31%1.86won
- Zyskblogabet96 picks · 51.0% · +1.02%1.83won
- Real FC Betting Tipsblogabet73 picks · 41.1% · -32.75%1.53won
- Apuestil.blogabet59 picks · 91.5% · +65.34%2.02void
and 5 more
Under · 2
- Linerblogabet195 picks · 49.2% · -6.92%1.96won
- EUJOSKYoddspedianot enough tracked yet14.00lost
- Sassuolo vs JuventusOver/Under · Serie A. Season 26/2712 Sept 2026landed-3pp15 tips
- Over
- tipsters93.3%
- stake90.8%
- odds2.05
- Under
- tipsters6.7%
- stake9.2%
- odds1.70
Who backed this
Over · 14
- win1706asianbookie343 picks · 55.4% · +50.57%1.88won
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.88won
- Caitlinblogabet201 picks · 71.1% · +49.61%2.05lost
- Bora1983blogabet121 picks · 57.9% · +28.31%1.92won
- Epimitheasblogabet102 picks · 28.4% · -22.81%3.14lost
- Jg22asianbookie63 picks · 50.8% · +61.28%1.88won
- DiegoTipsterblogabet34 picks · 70.6% · +45.59%3.04won
- DiegoTipsterblogabet34 picks · 70.6% · +45.59%2.91won
and 6 more
Under · 1
- InsiderNewsblogabet340 picks · 66.8% · +22.21%1.70lost
- Arsenal vs ChelseaMatch winner · Premier League. Season 26/276 Sept 2026missed+5pp15 tips
- Home
- tipsters86.7%
- stake91.7%
- odds1.59
- Away
- tipsters6.7%
- stake4.2%
- odds21.00
- Draw
- tipsters6.7%
- stake4.2%
- odds5.83
Who backed this
Home · 13
- Vitibet Algorithmvitibet6,218 picks · 63.3% · -6.78%lost
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%lost
- Adibetadibet382 picks · 75.7%lost
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%1.77lost
- Fortune Hunterblogabet218 picks · 58.7% · -1.19%1.70won
- bamboocha72blogabet205 picks · 51.2% · -8.30%1.37won
- ProSoccerprosoccer182 picks · 68.1% · +0.84%1.30lost
- SaPariepopetteblogabet108 picks · 43.5% · +25.09%1.72won
and 5 more
Away · 1
- Deli_GaMBiTblogabetnot enough tracked yet21.00lost
Draw · 1
- ValueEdgeblogabet100 picks · 25.0% · -17.58%5.83lost
- Arsenal vs Coventry CityOver/Under · Premier League. Season 26/2721 Aug 2026landed+10pp15 tips
- Over
- tipsters53.3%
- stake63.2%
- odds1.94
- Under
- tipsters46.7%
- stake36.8%
- odds1.94
Who backed this
Over · 8
- Spartacus78blogabet92 picks · 63.0% · +2.44%1.59won
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%1.93void
- Celedaasianbookie70 picks · 48.6% · -6.36%1.93void
- Aikawablogabet69 picks · 53.6% · +15.02%3.05lost
- NiNaNiasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · -29.57%1.93void
- Poonbijovasianbookie60 picks · 55.0% · +5.58%1.93void
- Luca Braciblogabetnot enough tracked yet2.00won
- Paulso520oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.18won
Under · 7
- Jov135asianbookie460 picks · 51.7% · -29.22%1.90void
- vegnes2277asianbookie226 picks · 53.1% · -18.85%1.90void
- Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%1.98void
- Tuan77asianbookie87 picks · 49.4% · +78.35%1.90void
- Hau1990asianbookie81 picks · 63.0% · +60.53%2.00void
- SOCCERAIDENasianbookie36 picks · 55.6% · +7.31%2.00void
- hollowjimasianbookienot enough tracked yet1.88lost
- Borussia Dortmund vs VillarrealMatch winner · League phasedate unverifiedlanded-17pp15 tips
- Home
- tipsters86.7%
- stake69.2%
- odds1.78
- Away
- tipsters6.7%
- stake15.4%
- odds4.92
- Draw
- tipsters6.7%
- stake15.4%
- odds4.27
Who backed this
Home · 13
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%won
- Adibetadibet382 picks · 75.7%won
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%1.84won
- Win in Silenceblogabet228 picks · 59.2% · +10.79%1.73won
- ProSoccerprosoccer182 picks · 68.1% · +0.84%1.75won
- Arvis Petunovsblogabet173 picks · 44.5% · -16.99%1.85won
- lee444blogabet159 picks · 47.8% · -1.50%1.73won
- Mr. Moëtblogabet149 picks · 57.0% · +7.55%1.87won
and 5 more
Away · 1
- LVbetsblogabet118 picks · 50.0% · -15.53%4.92lost
Draw · 1
- SaPariepopetteblogabet108 picks · 43.5% · +25.09%4.27lost
- Stuttgart vs VikingOver/Under · League phasedate unverifiedlanded+14pp15 tips
- Over
- tipsters66.7%
- stake80.5%
- odds2.13
- Under
- tipsters33.3%
- stake19.5%
- odds1.99
Who backed this
Over · 10
- norgemeisterblogabet358 picks · 59.2% · +13.58%1.73lost
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%2.00void
- seangfayasianbookie247 picks · 53.8% · +47.10%2.03void
- Tips The 6 Caminosblogabet137 picks · 47.4% · -8.34%1.65won
- FROMDIRblogabet87 picks · 56.3% · +4.67%1.65won
- FROMDIRblogabet87 picks · 56.3% · +4.67%2.46lost
- Telegram - @godsonmarblogabet68 picks · 61.8% · +18.50%1.66won
- [email protected]blogabet34 picks · 41.2% · -12.71%1.69won
and 2 more
- Ipswich Town vs ArsenalOver/Under · League Cup. Third round15 Sept 2026landed+7pp14 tips
- Over
- tipsters92.9%
- stake100.0%
- odds1.67
- Under
- tipsters7.1%
- stake0.0%
- odds1.50
Who backed this
Over · 13
- Fortune Hunterblogabet218 picks · 58.7% · -1.19%1.90won
- midolucian0blogabet115 picks · 64.3% · +2.49%1.49won
- midolucian0blogabet115 picks · 64.3% · +2.49%1.51won
- AndyCappMurrblogabet108 picks · 71.3% · +43.69%1.66won
- AndyCappMurrblogabet108 picks · 71.3% · +43.69%1.68won
- AndyCappMurrblogabet108 picks · 71.3% · +43.69%1.68won
- AndyCappMurrblogabet108 picks · 71.3% · +43.69%1.68won
- AndyCappMurrblogabet108 picks · 71.3% · +43.69%1.68won
and 5 more
Under · 1
- Longtermoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.50lost
- Sevilla vs ValenciaMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2711 Sept 2026landed+42pp14 tips
- Home
- tipsters50.0%
- stake91.7%
- odds2.01
- Draw
- tipsters42.9%
- stake8.3%
- odds3.27
- Away
- tipsters7.1%
- stake0.0%
- odds3.80
Who backed this
Home · 7
- Vitibet Algorithmvitibet6,218 picks · 63.3% · -6.78%won
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%2.08won
- Draperiablogabet48 picks · 35.4% · -13.10%2.09won
- MASSIMOM2blogabet30 picks · 56.7% · +16.19%1.81won
- berptsoddspedianot enough tracked yet2.20won
- F O C U Soddspedianot enough tracked yet2.00won
- Verde1977oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.90won
Draw · 6
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%lost
- ValueEdgeblogabet100 picks · 25.0% · -17.58%3.42lost
- Pikacz Unnervingzawodtyper39 picks · 71.8% · +18.67%3.30lost
- BesTTemaoddspedianot enough tracked yet3.25lost
- Lider75oddspedianot enough tracked yet3.20lost
- weteroddspedianot enough tracked yet3.20lost
Away · 1
- Iwancaoddspedianot enough tracked yet3.80lost
- Napoli vs ArsenalMatch winner · League phase9 Sept 2026landed+4pp14 tips
- Away
- tipsters85.7%
- stake90.0%
- odds1.75
- Draw
- tipsters14.3%
- stake10.0%
- odds3.87
Who backed this
Away · 12
- Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,917 picks · 44.1% · -5.74%won
- Adibetadibet382 picks · 75.7%won
- MightyTipsmightytips330 picks · 54.2% · -6.33%1.61won
- SoloPredictsolopredict329 picks · 73.9% · -1.97%1.80won
- Win in Silenceblogabet228 picks · 59.2% · +10.79%1.91won
- ProSoccerprosoccer182 picks · 68.1% · +0.84%1.95won
- SANSO INVESTMENTblogabet165 picks · 67.9% · +19.22%1.67won
- lee444blogabet159 picks · 47.8% · -1.50%1.70won
and 4 more
How to read a row
Tipsters is how many backed the selection. Stake is how much of the published stake went there. When they disagree, a few tipsters are loading on something the rest only nodded at.
Diff is that gap for the most-backed selection, in percentage points, and is highlighted past 10pp. Negative means plenty of bodies but little conviction.
Odds is the mean price the tipsters on that selection advertised — per selection, not per row, because the two sides of a crowd are rarely the same price and the contrarian side is usually the bigger one.
It counts advertised prices only. Several sources here are forecasting algorithms whose only number is their own claimed probability; turning that into a price by inverting it produces something with no bookmaker margin in it that nobody could have bet, so we leave those out rather than average them in. On the fixtures ahead the difference is not cosmetic — the advertised tips average around 3.07 and the inverted ones around 1.54. A dash means nobody on that selection published a real price.
The stake column is blank where nobody published a stake — most sources are flat-stake, and repeating the tipster split there would invent a money signal out of an absence. Rows marked one source are tipsters on the same site, who can read each other; that is agreement, not independent confirmation.
Did the crowd's pick pay?
Every selection above, split into the one most tipsters backed and everything else.
- Most-backed yield
+11.59%
7,049 picks · avg price 2.04
- Rest yield
+2.13%
1,371 picks · avg price 2.69
- Most-backed win rate
56.4%
95% CI [55.2%, 57.5%]
7,049 graded
- Rest win rate
47.0%
95% CI [44.3%, 49.6%]
1,371 graded
The most-backed selection yields +11.6% over 7,049 priced picks; the rest of the field yields +2.1% over 1,371 priced picks. The gap between them is +9.5%, but its 95% interval spans -12.6% to +31.5% -- this sample cannot separate the two. That is a result, not a missing one. The most-backed selection is priced at a mean of 2.04, the rest at a mean of 2.69 -- sides priced this differently are expected to post different strike rates on their own, before either one has actually called anything better.
Across the whole corpus, every advertised pick yields +11.6% over 75,807 priced picks. The crowd's pick is 0.0 points ahead of that, but the interval on the difference spans -7.7% to +7.8% -- so it has not been shown to beat the corpus it was drawn from. A corpus whose whole 95% interval sits above zero (+9.8% to +13.3%) is describing what gets published and graded rather than an edge a bettor could have taken, so treat every absolute yield on this page as inflated and the gap between two of them as the number that means something.
Why yield, and not the win rate?
The side more tipsters back is usually the favourite, and favourites win more often at shorter prices. That is what a short price means, not evidence the crowd called it right — see the strike-rate/yield pair for the general case. Yield is the number that pays, so the verdict reads from it. Win rate stays visible because the gap between the two is itself the point.
Both are measured over advertised prices only. Some sources publish a probability rather than a price; a price derived from one carries no bookmaker margin and describes a bet nobody could have placed, so those tips are excluded from these four figures entirely.
What counts as a crowd, and whose crowd is it?
Two tips are the same fixture when they share an event, or name the same two teams on the same UTC day. A crowd needs three or more tips on the same market, and one selection has to beat every other individually — a tie has no winner to name.
"Most-backed" is a plurality, not a majority: on a three-way market a selection only has to beat each rival on its own. A split of 5 home / 4 draw / 3 away reads as 5 against 7. The other side is a mixture of whatever different bets those tipsters made, never one shared opposing view.
These groups are backed by 1070 distinct tipsters across 14 distinct sources.
These figures speak for 43.3% of the settled corpus — 40,061 of 92,509 rows carry a fixture identity we can group on. The rest carry neither an event nor a verified kickoff, and are excluded rather than guessed at.
How many tips each fixture attracted
| Tips | Fixtures |
|---|---|
| 1 | 5,166 |
| 2 | 2,872 |
| 3 | 1,429 |
| 4 | 861 |
| 5 | 551 |
| 6 | 352 |
| 7 | 244 |
| 8 | 191 |
| 9 | 134 |
| 10 | 96 |
| 11 | 101 |
| 12 | 76 |
| 13 | 60 |
| 14 | 55 |
| 15 | 37 |
| 16 | 39 |
| 17 | 25 |
| 18 | 20 |
| 19 | 23 |
| 20 | 18 |
| 21 | 16 |
| 22 | 9 |
| 23 | 11 |
| 24 | 12 |
| 25 | 5 |
| 26 | 6 |
| 27 | 10 |
| 28 | 9 |
| 29 | 6 |
| 30 | 5 |
| 31 | 4 |
| 32 | 3 |
| 33 | 5 |
| 34 | 4 |
| 35 | 5 |
| 36 | 6 |
| 37 | 3 |
| 38 | 4 |
| 39 | 2 |
| 40 | 0 |
| 41 | 0 |
| 42 | 1 |
| 43 | 2 |
| 44 | 1 |
| 45 | 0 |
| 46 | 1 |
| 47 | 1 |
| 48 | 0 |
| 49 | 2 |
| 50 | 1 |
| 51 | 0 |
| 52 | 0 |
| 53 | 0 |
| 54 | 1 |
| 55 | 3 |
| 56 | 0 |
| 57 | 2 |
| 58 | 0 |
| 59 | 1 |
| 60 | 1 |
| 61 | 0 |
| 62 | 1 |
| 63 | 0 |
| 64 | 0 |
| 65 | 1 |
| 66 | 0 |
| 67 | 0 |
| 68 | 0 |
| 69 | 0 |
| 70 | 0 |
| 71 | 0 |
| 72 | 2 |
| 73 | 1 |
| 74 | 0 |
| 75 | 0 |
| 76 | 1 |
| 77+ | 1 |
Where it holds up
The same comparison, cut four ways. Each column is a yield: what the crowd's pick returned against what everything else returned.
By how many agreed
Does a bigger pile-on pay more than a slim majority?
| Tipsters agreeing | Crowds | Crowd's pick | The field |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3within noise | 1,223 | +12.36% | +1.09% |
| 4–5within noise | 746 | +0.42% | +8.12% |
| 6+within noise | 437 | +19.56% | +0.41% |
By market
Agreement on who wins and agreement on a total are not the same act.
| Market | Crowds | Crowd's pick | The field |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winnerwithin noise | 1,005 | +7.08% | -1.53% |
| Over/Underwithin noise | 856 | +14.11% | -1.80% |
| Asian handicapwithin noise | 410 | +12.04% | +13.31% |
| Asian over underwithin noise | 57 | -2.66% | +23.80% |
| Handicapwithin noise | 28 | -18.44% | +233.60% |
| Double chancewithin noise | 27 | +42.45% | -20.67% |
| Otherwithin noise | 23 | +3.50% | -100.00% |
By where the crowd came from
Tipsters on separate sites agreeing is a different fact from one site agreeing with itself.
| Crowd | Crowds | Crowd's pick | The field |
|---|---|---|---|
| Across sources | 1,229 | +15.53% | -18.48% |
| Within one sourcewithin noise | 1,177 | +8.92% | +26.52% |
By when the crowd could be seen
Every row above measures crowds as they finally stood, late tips included. These rebuild each crowd from only the tips we already held that long before kickoff — the crowd a reader could actually have acted on. The bottom row is the hindsight version, for comparison.
| Crowd as it stood | Crowds | Crowd's pick | The field |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48h or more before kickoffwithin noise | 250 | +20.35% | +22.03% |
| 24h or more before kickoffwithin noise | 303 | +19.40% | +19.66% |
| 12h or more before kickoffwithin noise | 685 | +22.31% | +18.72% |
| 2h or more before kickoffwithin noise | 955 | +20.73% | +18.69% |
| Every tip, including after the factwithin noise | 1,085 | +14.26% | +17.43% |
Why the yields here can mislead
Read the Crowds column before the yields. These buckets hold very different numbers of crowds, and a striking figure over a handful of them is a small sample, not a finding about that market. A row marked within noise is one whose two yields cannot be told apart: the 95% interval on the difference between them still contains zero, so whatever gap the columns show is inside what ordinary variance produces on its own.
Bigger crowds also gather on bigger matches, and bigger matches carry shorter prices. A difference across the crowd-size buckets can be the prices talking rather than the crowd.
These four axes are around twenty comparisons in total, each at 95% confidence. On that many, roughly one in twenty would clear the bar by chance alone even if nothing here were real, so a single separable row is weaker evidence than it looks. Two rows pointing in opposite directions on the same axis, as the crowd-composition split does, is the pattern that is hard to get by accident.
Method and limits
Why there are no upcoming fixtures here
Every crowd on this page has already played and been graded, because every figure on it is a result — a yield, a strike rate, a comparison against the rest of the field. None of those exist for a fixture that has not happened, so an unplayed crowd has nothing to contribute here.
Crowds on fixtures still ahead are on the upcoming board instead, which shows the split and the tipsters and stops there. Read this page first: what the most-backed selection has historically returned is the only thing that gives a number over there any meaning. The methodology sets out which surfaces publish before an event and which do not.
Which prices count
Advertised prices only. Some sources publish a probability instead of a price; deriving one from it (1/p) gives a number carrying no bookmaker margin, which flatters every return computed from it. Those tips still count towards who is in a crowd — an algorithm's tip is a real tip — but never towards a figure about money.
Why this page disagrees with the research study
This page reads the live corpus, so its figures move as tips settle. The corpus study closes its data at the start of each month so a number quoted from it is still there when someone checks. The two will report different figures for the same measurement, and neither is wrong. Cite the study; read this page.
- Computed
- 2026-10-28 03:03 UTC
- Cadence
- Every request, live
- Revisions
- None — the corpus only grows