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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Gateshead vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-6

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Fylde vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Barrow vs Aldershot Town

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Halifax Town vs Sutton United

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
3.90+29029/102.90+2.90-0.34from 3.75 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Woking vs Kidderminster

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Hartlepool United vs Worthing

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.90 · −7.3% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Fribourg-Gotteron vs Lausanne HC

Ice Hockey · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.10 · +13.5% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

SC Bern vs Davos

Ice Hockey · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.90 · −8.2% CLV
Score
4:1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Scunthorpe United vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 41m before

Kidderminster vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.58 · +14.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 41m before

Altrincham vs Hartlepool United

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 41m before

Sutton United vs Eastleigh

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 3.40 · +4.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Harrogate Town vs Fylde

Football · National league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Solihull Moors vs Barrow

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Wealdstone vs Halifax Town

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Boston United vs Woking

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Worthing vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Aldershot Town vs Yeovil Town

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Lugano vs Geneve Servette

Ice Hockey · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-3

2026-09-15 · first seen 36m before

Lausanne HC vs EV Zug

Ice Hockey · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-09-15 · first seen 36m before

Southend United vs Tamworth

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Gateshead vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV1-6WON
Fylde vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV1-2LOST
Barrow vs Aldershot TownFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-0LOST
Forest Green Rovers vs Boston UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV1-3LOST
Halifax Town vs Sutton UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Eastleigh vs Carlisle UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived3.90+29029/102.90+2.90-0.34from 3.75 · −3.8% CLV1-0LOST
Woking vs KidderminsterFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Hartlepool United vs WorthingFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.90 · −7.3% CLV1-3WON
Fribourg-Gotteron vs Lausanne HCIce Hockey · National league2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.10 · +13.5% CLV4-2WON
SC Bern vs DavosIce Hockey · National league2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV5-2LOST
Yeovil Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.90 · −8.2% CLV4:1WON
Scunthorpe United vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-09-16first seen 41m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV1-2WON
Kidderminster vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-09-16first seen 41m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.58 · +14.5% CLV1-0WON
Altrincham vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-16first seen 41m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1LOST
Sutton United vs EastleighFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 3.40 · +4.6% CLV2-1LOST
Harrogate Town vs FyldeFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-2LOST
Solihull Moors vs BarrowFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV1-0LOST
Wealdstone vs Halifax TownFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1WON
Carlisle United vs Forest Green RoversFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV1-1WON
Boston United vs WokingFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Worthing vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Aldershot Town vs Yeovil TownFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV1-1LOST
Lugano vs Geneve ServetteIce Hockey · National league2026-09-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV6-3WON
Lausanne HC vs EV ZugIce Hockey · National league2026-09-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV0-5LOST
Southend United vs TamworthFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3:1WON

1–25 of 87· 47 won / 40 lost · −18.8u · −21.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.