Emelec vs Manta
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Llaneros Villavicencio vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.70 · −1.8% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs CavalryFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Palermo vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.75 · +10.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.87 · −13.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Catania vs CosenzaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.35+23547/202.35+2.35-0.43from 3.10 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 6-4 | LOST |
| Fehervar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.40 · +15.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea ClujFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 2.10 · +31.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Dunav Ruse vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.75 · +14.6% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Manisa vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.53 · −4.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4-9 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4:2 | LOST |
| Kalmar FF vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.65 · +1.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Mardin BB vs BodrumsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Goztepe vs Gaziantep BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Cagliari vs LecceFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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