Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Nacional
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· first seen 31m before
Football · Primera Nacional
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· first seen 3d 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago vs QuilmesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Central Norte vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Temperley vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| CD Maipu vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Almagro vs Gimnasia y Esgrima JujuyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Agropecuario vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Atletico San Miguel vs Godoy CruzFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Chacarita Juniors vs AtlantaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Acassuso vs All BoysFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Atletico San Telmo vs Los AndesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.95 · +9.3% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Tristan Suarez vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Racing CordobaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3d 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| San Martin Tucuman vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Godoy Cruz vs Atletico San TelmoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Moron vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Atlanta vs San Martin San JuanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| All Boys vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Almirante Brown vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
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