Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
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Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
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Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
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Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Primera Nacional
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· first seen 25m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moron vs Godoy CruzFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Chacarita Juniors vs QuilmesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| San Martin San Juan vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Temperley vs AlmagroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Atletico de Rafaela vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-2 | LOST |
| Atletico San Miguel vs All BoysFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Atletico San Telmo vs Estudiantes CaserosFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Acassuso vs Atletico MitreFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| San Martin San Juan vs Tristan SuarezFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 3.80+28014/52.80+2.80-0.36from 3.80 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| San Martin Tucuman vs AgropecuarioFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Godoy Cruz vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita JuniorsFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 56m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.35 · +11.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Patronato Parana vs TemperleyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Estudiantes Caseros vs AcassusoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Los Andes vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| CA Colegiales vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Gimnasia Tiro vs Tristan SuarezFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Los AndesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Nueva Chicago vs QuilmesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
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