Orense vs Guayaquil City
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-3
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Emelec vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Estoril vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs CavalryFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.53 · −4.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Kalmar FF vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.65 · +1.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel HaifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV | 1:1 | WON |
| Foolad Khuzestan vs Fajr SepasiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Brest vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.20 · +0.9% CLV | 0:2 | LOST |
| Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar KhorramabadFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Delfin vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Lanus vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| SK Beveren vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
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