Skovde AIK vs Olympic Malmo
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Liiga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · VHL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Liiga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skovde AIK vs Olympic MalmoFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Vaasan Sport vs Oulun KarpatIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 3.00 · +1.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Khimik Voskresensk vs Gornyak-UGMKIce Hockey · VHL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Fleetwood Town vs RochdaleFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Brackley Town vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Oxford City vs MorecambeFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.03 · −3.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Progreso vs Racing MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Nidaros vs Frisk-AskerIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 2-6 | WON |
| Scunthorpe United vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 2.00 · +4.2% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Swindon Town vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| York City vs GillinghamFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Limavady United vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Cambridge United vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.73 · +6.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Worthing vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Telford vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-5 | LOST |
| Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Darlington vs Hebburn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Shrewsbury Town vs Colchester UnitedFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Chesham United vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Junkeren vs RanaFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Valerenga vs NarvikIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.13 · −5.0% CLV | 6-2 | WON |
| K-Espoo vs JokeritIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 2.50 · +45.3% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Järfälla vs AFC EskilstunaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.60 · +1.3% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.