Favoritner vs SV Leobendorf
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 40m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3919
3918 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.9u
over 3918u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1481 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
815
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1988 | 68.5% | −85.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3919 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Baseball · Extraliga. 3rd place. Best of 3
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 3. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favoritner vs SV LeobendorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Viborg vs LyngbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.77 · −4.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Aalesund vs IK StartFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Lyon vs AuxerreFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Eagles Praha vs Draci BrnoBaseball · Extraliga. 3rd place. Best of 3 | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Koge vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Herning Blue Fox vs KooKooIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Frolunda vs SaiPaIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Kufstein vs Intemann LauterachFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Rosengard vs LaholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.50 · −4.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Norrkoping vs LjungskileFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Osters IF vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta PoznanFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Hannover 96 vs KarlsruherFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.65 · +11.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Prostejov vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Bregalnica Stip vs Shkendija HaracineFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vasas vs NyiregyhazaFootball · National League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.20 · +10.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Arminia Bielefeld vs St. PauliFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Tekstilschik vs Torpedo MoscowFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| MyPa vs ReipasFootball · League 3. Group A | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Kyapaz vs ShamakhiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| PK-35 Helsinki vs EIF EkenasFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.55 · −17.6% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.