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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sollentuna vs Stockholm Internazionale

Football · Division 2. North

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.45 · +9.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Notts County vs Blackpool

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 7h before

Chester vs Worksop Town

Football · National league. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Ballymena United vs Portadown

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 4.80 · +182.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Intemann Lauterach vs Reichenau

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Tukums 2000 2 vs YFK Ventspils

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Rotherham vs Crewe Alexandra

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Serbia U19 vs Romania U19

Football · U19. Friendly

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42from 2.50 · −26.5% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

KalPa vs Lukko

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

IFK Norrkoping (w) vs Hacken (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City

Football · MLS

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-26 · first seen 6d 2h before

Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
—
Score
95-89

2026-09-26 · first seen 3h before

Wealdstone vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Billericay Town vs Torquay United

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

VJS Vantaa vs KPV Kokkola

Football · League 2. Relegation group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Crusaders vs Bangor

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.18 · +11.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United

Football · National League. South

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Aldershot Town vs Tamworth

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Chaika Nizhny Novgorod vs Tolpar

Ice Hockey · JHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.54 · +4.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.15 · −10.4% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Wycombe Wanderers vs Reading

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Jerv vs Notodden

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.50 · +4.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Southport vs Spennymoor Town

Football · National league. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

FC Schwaz vs Dornbirn

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 1.85 · −13.1% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

Pelicans vs HIFK

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.82 · +7.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-26 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Sollentuna vs Stockholm InternazionaleFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.45 · +9.0% CLV1-2WON
Notts County vs BlackpoolFootball · League 12026-09-26first seen 7h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Chester vs Worksop TownFootball · National league. North2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—4-1WON
Ballymena United vs PortadownFootball · Premier League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 4.80 · +182.4% CLV2-0WON
Intemann Lauterach vs ReichenauFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV0-3LOST
Tukums 2000 2 vs YFK VentspilsFootball · League 12026-09-26first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-0LOST
Rotherham vs Crewe AlexandraFootball · League 22026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Serbia U19 vs Romania U19Football · U19. Friendly2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42from 2.50 · −26.5% CLV1-3LOST
KalPa vs LukkoIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
IFK Norrkoping (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV0-6WON
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando CityFootball · MLS2026-09-26first seen 6d 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV4:2WON
Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de CancunBasketball · LNBP2026-09-26first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived—95-89WON
Wealdstone vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV4-0WON
Billericay Town vs Torquay UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-0WON
VJS Vantaa vs KPV KokkolaFootball · League 2. Relegation group2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV2-0WON
Crusaders vs BangorFootball · Premier League2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.18 · +11.8% CLV2-1WON
Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Aldershot Town vs TamworthFootball · National league2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV5-1WON
Chaika Nizhny Novgorod vs TolparIce Hockey · JHL2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.54 · +4.1% CLV5-0WON
Sutton United vs Forest Green RoversFootball · National league2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.15 · −10.4% CLV3-3WON
Wycombe Wanderers vs ReadingFootball · League 12026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV2-2LOST
Jerv vs NotoddenFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.50 · +4.9% CLV1-0WON
Southport vs Spennymoor TownFootball · National league. North2026-09-26first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
FC Schwaz vs DornbirnFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 1.85 · −13.1% CLV3-0LOST
Pelicans vs HIFKIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-26first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.82 · +7.1% CLV2-1WON

476–500 of 7146

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.