Bari vs Cosenza
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Serie C. Group B
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Football · Serie C. Group A
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Football · Serie C. Group C
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Baseball · NPB
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Football · Division 1
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Football · League 3
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 4
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 4
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Mestis
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Regional League. East
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Regular season
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Regular season
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari vs CosenzaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Union San Felipe vs Deportes CopiapoFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Livorno vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.70 · −9.1% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| TWK Innsbruck vs Fehervar AV19Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 3.40 · +19.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Litvinov U20 vs Sparta Praha U20Ice Hockey · U20. Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42from 3.60 · +5.9% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23Football · Serie C. Group A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Picerno vs Audace CerignolaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Rosenborg (w) vs AaFK Fortuna (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Doubravka vs HlubokaFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| SV Leobendorf vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Orix BuffaloesBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0:9 | LOST |
| Heracles Almelo vs VitesseFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Velke Hamry vs Sokol BrozanyFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Spartak Pribram vs HoroviceFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.68 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Slovan Velvary vs Brandys nad LabemFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Jiskra Domazlice vs Dynamo Ceske BudejoviceFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 6-3 | LOST |
| Tranmere Rovers vs WalsallFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Glentoran vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.90 · +5.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Jokipojat vs Kiekko-VantaaIce Hockey · Mestis | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.90 · +7.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| SV Wienerberg vs Scheiblingkirchen-WarthFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Shanghai Dragons vs Dinamo MinskIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.65 · −11.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mansfield Town vs Leyton OrientFootball · League 1 | first seen 7h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Altrincham vs HornchurchFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Donau vs Wiener SKFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Spartak Moscow vs AvtomobilistIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.