Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 12m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Platense vs Deportivo RiestraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.60 · +10.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Comerciantes vs AyacuchoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Sandefjord vs VikingFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs SarmientoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Shamrock Rovers vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Fiorentino vs VirtusFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Tre Penne vs SS CosmosFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.25 · −17.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| SP Domagnano vs San GiovanniFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Porto vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.20 · +8.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Faetano vs Tre FioriFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.07 · −0.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo BuloFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Ipswich Town vs LiverpoolFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.50 · −5.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Bray Wanderers vs Cork CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 46m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Athlone TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Altrincham vs EastleighFootball · National league | first seen 46m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Holywell Town vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Larne vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lommel United vs BruggeFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Genoa vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs HaverfordwestFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.