Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-9
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Women. Bundesliga
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 1-9 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.62 · −4.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Modena vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Paderborn vs HoffenheimFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.68 · −5.6% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.75 · +15.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Aldosivi vs Atletico TucumanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Kortrijk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 58m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| KF Dukagjini vs KF DritaFootball · Superliga | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Estoril vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Bokelj vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Omonia Aradippou vs Olympiacos NicosiaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Decic Tuzi vs Mornar BarFootball · League 1 | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Soroksar vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 2 | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Jedinstvo Ub vs LoznicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Amedspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Cerrito vs River Plate MontevideoFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mardin BB vs KayserisporFootball · League 1 | first seen 43m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Drenica vs LlapiFootball · Superliga | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Goztepe vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Santa Clara vs BragaFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.70 · +5.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Antalyaspor vs VansporFootball · League 1 | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Union Berlin (w) vs RB Leipzig (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Villarreal vs LevanteFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Partizani TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.