Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3:1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 15h before
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Relegation group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3:1 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4:3 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4:3 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 12h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4:3 | WON |
| Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn FCFootball · USL | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4:0 | WON |
| Enugu Rangers International vs Ranchers BeesFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Inter Lagos vs Kano PillarsFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 1.58 · −39.2% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Criciuma vs Operario FerroviarioFootball · Serie B | first seen 15h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.80+28014/52.80+2.80-0.36from 4.15 · +9.2% CLV | 0:2 | WON |
| Sparta Praha vs Mlada BoleslavIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 3:3 | VOID |
| Leganes vs GranadaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Goias vs AvaiFootball · Serie B | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Corinthians SP vs Fluminense RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs Doosan BearsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 3:5 | WON |
| Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 87:86 | LOST |
| Lecco vs PergoletteseFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.02 · +1.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Tecnico Universitario vs DelfinFootball · Premier League. Relegation group | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Grosseto vs PerugiaFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.90 · +9.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Boston Legacy (w) vs Houston Dash (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.50 · −6.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.19 · +0.8% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Moron vs Godoy CruzFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Chacarita Juniors vs QuilmesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Sport Huancayo vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.28 · +7.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Inter Escaldes vs FC RangersFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs CukarickiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Panetolikos vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.