Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 13m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague 1
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Serie A
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Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Division 1
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Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. Group 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata vs PanathinaikosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Victoria Sumy vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Hafnarfjordur vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.70 · −11.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| IA Akranes vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Danubio vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Viborg vs NordsjaellandFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Keflavik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| OFI vs Asteras TripolisFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hibernians vs FlorianaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Omonia Nicosia vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Baqaa vs Al Faisaly AmmanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Al-Jabalain vs Al-OroubaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 19h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 4.00 · +131.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Campobasso vs PinetoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Potenza vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.90 · +114.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Mura vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Deportes Tolima vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Fulham vs Manchester UnitedFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 3.55 · +77.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| TS Galaxy vs Chippa UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Mantova vs PisaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Raufoss vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.27 · +4.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Ujpest vs ZalaegerszegFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Skeid vs TromsdalenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-6 | LOST |
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