Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby Talang
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 14m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
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X2Double Chance
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AwayMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Liga MX
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.65 · −5.2% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.80 · −5.3% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0:5 | LOST |
| Cheonan City vs HwaseongFootball · K League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Adelaide City vs Playford City PatriotsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| West Torrens Birkalla vs North Eastern MetroStarsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Monaro Panthers vs Cooma TigersFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.12 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Persik Kediri vs Dewa UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita TangerangFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| LG Twins vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 8:5 | LOST |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1:6 | WON |
| Peninsula Power vs Moreton City ExcelsiorFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Semi-finals | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan CityFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.42 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Avondale vs Preston LionsFootball · Victoria. National Premier League. Quarter-finals | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Juarez vs PachucaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| South Hobart vs Devonport CityFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 2:9 | LOST |
| Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 8-10 | LOST |
| Deportes Concepcion vs Audax ItalianoFootball · Serie A | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Tecnico Universitario vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| CRB vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Orsomarso vs Real CartagenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.