Sevilla vs Barcelona
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1:3
· first seen 10m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6226
6222 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6222u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2296 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2327 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 351 | 72.4%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3119
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3252 | 58.9% | −278.0u |
| Double chance | 2974 | 68.2% | −143.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6226 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. Primera division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Liiga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Liiga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Youth Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 3. Norra Svealand
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 1:3 | WON |
| Burnley vs Derby CountyFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cray Wanderers vs Maidstone UnitedFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 7.00 · +389.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Alloa Athletic vs East KilbrideFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Espanol (w) vs Madrid (w)Football · Women. Primera division | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Colchester United vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.65 · +2.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Lincoln City vs SwanseaFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Leyton Orient vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Oulun Karpat vs Vaasan SportIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Torquay United vs StonehamFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.07 · 0.0% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Kristiansund vs RosenborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Vikingur Gota vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Redditch vs Evesham UnitedFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Gateshead vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 1-6 | WON |
| Reading vs Notts CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Kettering Town vs QuornFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Carrick Rangers vs LarneFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Salford City vs Swindon TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Assat vs K-EspooIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| QPR vs Preston North EndFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Fylde vs AltrinchamFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Atvidabergs vs Lunds BKFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Real Aviles U19 vs Ural CF U19Football · U19. Youth Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Forfar vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.45 · +14.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Korsnas IF vs IFK LidingeFootball · Division 3. Norra Svealand | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
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