Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Football · Division 1. Final
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 18m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1. Final
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Division 1
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Ice Hockey · SHL
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Football · Serie A
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· first seen 26m before
Baseball · MLB
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Football · USL
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Football · Regional League. North
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· first seen 3m before
Football · Superleague
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Superleague
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Football · League 1
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · SHL
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · SHL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Regional League. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1. Final | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Charleroi vs Cercle BruggeFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Apollon Limassol vs APOEL NicosiaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Shabab Al Ordon vs Al HusseinFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Slovacko vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.50 · +8.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis FamagustaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Farjestad vs OrebroIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1:2 | LOST |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-8 | WON |
| Louisville City vs Loudoun UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 6d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 4:2 | WON |
| Drochtersen-Assel vs St. Pauli 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Young Boys vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Kosice vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Zilina vs TrencinFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.38 · −3.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.72 · −9.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Molde vs AalesundFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.68 · −6.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Djurgardens vs BjorklovenIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Birzebbuga Saint Peters vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Lulea HF vs RogleIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Odense vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sion vs ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Tatran Presov vs SamorinFootball · League 2 | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Kickers Emden vs SchoningenFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 5-0 | LOST |
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