HC Ocelari Trinec vs Skoda Plzen
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Bundesliga
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HC Ocelari Trinec vs Skoda PlzenIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Rana vs HonefossFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Zimbru vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.23 · −6.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| BIK Karlskoga vs VesterosIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs DiyalaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sabah Baku vs ImisliFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.12 · +0.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al-Anwar vs Al-NajmaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 18h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.75 · −6.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| St Polten vs Schwarz Weiss BregenzFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Savoia 1908 vs CasaranoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| GKS Katowice vs Cracovia KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Koper vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| TWK Innsbruck vs Vienna CapitalsIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.85 · −5.1% CLV | 4-5 | WON |
| Polokwane City vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Athletic Minas Gerais vs Botafogo SPFootball · Serie B | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Levy Bereg KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Oued Akbou vs USM AlgerFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Super Nova 2 vs FC Smiltene-BJSSFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Austria Lustenau vs Rheindorf AltachFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Sandvikens vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Diosgyori vs GyirmotFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ikorodou City vs BarauFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Boston River vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Varazdin vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hohenems vs ImstFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.