Hannover 96 vs Bochum
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2:1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 vs BochumFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Wolverhampton vs West BromwichFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 4:2 | WON |
| Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi TiberiasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Coleraine vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Batman Petrolspor vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Camioneros vs Deportivo ArmenioFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs Partizan BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 4-4 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| NC Dinos vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 6:8 | WON |
| Kilmarnock vs HeartsFootball · Premier League | first seen 48m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Transinvest vs Zalgiris VilniusFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Ramat GanFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Arsenal (w) vs Manchester United (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.27 · +9.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Frisk-Asker vs ValerengaIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.90 · −4.0% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Tirana vs LaciFootball · Superleague | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Eldence vs EibarFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 33m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 33m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Nottingham Forest vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.63 · −1.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| The New Saints vs Llandudno TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.17 · +11.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.65 · −8.6% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Celta vs Racing SantanderFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.