Macara vs Manta
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Handball · Bundesliga
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Regional League. West
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· first seen 46m before
Football · Regional League. West
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Handball · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · Regional League. North-East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 3
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macara vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Falkirk vs RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Floriana vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Texas Rangers vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 8:1 | WON |
| Thun vs Lausanne SportsFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Rhein-Neckar Lowen vs VFL GummersbachHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 26-31 | WON |
| Bohemians Prague vs JablonecFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach 09Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Wiedenbruck vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| HC Erlangen vs TSV Hannover-BurgdorfHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.48 · 0.0% CLV | 28-28 | LOST |
| Washington Nationals vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 0-9 | LOST |
| Slavia Sofia vs Levski SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Carl Zeiss Jena vs VSG AltglienickeFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Sanat Naft Abadan vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 7-3 | LOST |
| Austria Vienna vs WSG TirolFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| FA Povltavska vs Jiskra DomazliceFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Vitkovice vs UnicovFootball · League 3 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.02 · −12.2% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Scottland Mabvuku vs PlatinumFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
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