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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7148

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7153

7148 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−516.5u

over 7148u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256460.1%58%–62%58%–62%−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+10pp

18

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7148

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396958.5%−344.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Isloch Minsk vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Baseball · NPB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-5

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

NC Dinos vs KIA Tigers

Baseball · KBO

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
3:2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

KT Wiz Suwon vs Hanwha Eagles

Baseball · KBO

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-11

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG Landers

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Doosan Bears vs LG Twins

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:3

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Samsung Lions vs Lotte Giants

Baseball · KBO

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
8:5

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin Tigers

Baseball · NPB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
6:2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-8

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-6

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Sultanes Monterrey vs Toros de Tijuana

Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-10

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de Tabasco

Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-6

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 11m before

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del Valle

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 1m before

Forward Madison vs One Knoxville

Football · USL. League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 1m before

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-9

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-9

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-11

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-11

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-5

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
6:2

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-09-02 · first seen 2h before

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Isloch Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV2-0WON
Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—2-5LOST
NC Dinos vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—3:2WON
KT Wiz Suwon vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—3-11LOST
Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-2LOST
Doosan Bears vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—1:3WON
Samsung Lions vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—8:5WON
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—6:2LOST
Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-03first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—6-8LOST
Los Angeles Angels vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-09-03first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—3-6WON
Sultanes Monterrey vs Toros de TijuanaBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 72026-09-03first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1-10WON
Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 72026-09-03first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—5-6LOST
Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-09-03first seen 11m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—2-0LOST
Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Forward Madison vs One KnoxvilleFootball · USL. League 12026-09-03first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—5-9LOST
Kansas City Royals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—6-9WON
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived—6-11LOST
Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-11LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—4-5LOST
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—6:2WON
Boston Red Sox vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—2-4LOST
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—1:2WON
Celtic vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1:2WON

2401–2425 of 3969· 2320 won / 1644 lost · −344.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7153 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.