Toulouse vs Lille
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.07 · +6.2% CLV
- Score
- 0:1
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Handball · Bundesliga
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Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 34m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Handball · Bundesliga
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6d 20h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse vs LilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.07 · +6.2% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Gent vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Basel vs SionFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Lugano vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 1.90 · −22.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.70 · +9.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| ThSV Eisenach vs HBW Balingen-WeilstettenHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV | 27-36 | LOST |
| ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.50 · −12.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Klagenfurt vs BordeauxIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs Kolner HaieIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.35 · −9.6% CLV | 2-5 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 34m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 0:11 | LOST |
| Bursaspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| TBV Lemgo Lippe vs HSG WetzlarHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.12 · −1.8% CLV | 31-27 | WON |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Neom vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Graz vs Fribourg-GotteronIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.57 · +10.6% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Alashkert vs VanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.16 · +6.4% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Banga Gargzdai vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.77 · −6.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Viimsi vs TallinnFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Skoda Plzen vs RogleIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 1 | first seen 6d 20h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
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