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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7148

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7153

7148 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−516.5u

over 7148u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256460.1%58%–62%58%–62%−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+10pp

18

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7148

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396958.5%−344.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Uni-Lions vs TSG Hawks

Baseball · CPBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
11-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

Lotte Giants vs Hanwha Eagles

Baseball · KBO

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-14

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Kiwoom Heroes vs NC Dinos

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-6

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

SSG Landers vs Doosan Bears

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Australia (w) vs Puerto Rico (w)

Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
70-54

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Japan (w) vs Mali (w)

Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
102-97

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

LG Twins vs Samsung Lions

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

KIA Tigers vs KT Wiz Suwon

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
11-5

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions

Baseball · NPB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants

Baseball · NPB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 3h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 2h before

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:9

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Olimpia Tegucigalpa vs Platense Puerto Cortes

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de Tabasco

Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Matagalpa vs UNAN Managua

Football · Primera Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.15 · +13.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 27h before

Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 7m before

Deportivo Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya

Football · Division 2. Relegation Group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 2m before

Libertad Loja vs Emelec

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 2m before

Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
3:6

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Leones del Norte vs Orense

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 20m before

America de Cali vs Alianza FC Valledupar

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.42 · −0.7% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo Aucas

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Real Sociedad vs Celta

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.90 · +6.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Uni-Lions vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL2026-09-04first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—11-0WON
Lotte Giants vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—4-14LOST
Kiwoom Heroes vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-6WON
SSG Landers vs Doosan BearsBaseball · KBO2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-0LOST
Australia (w) vs Puerto Rico (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—70-54WON
Japan (w) vs Mali (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—102-97WON
LG Twins vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—4-3LOST
KIA Tigers vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—11-5LOST
Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—8-2WON
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB2026-09-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—1-3LOST
Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-04first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—3-2WON
Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—2:9LOST
Olimpia Tegucigalpa vs Platense Puerto CortesFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV4-1WON
Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 72026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—1-2LOST
Matagalpa vs UNAN ManaguaFootball · Primera Division2026-09-04first seen 27h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.15 · +13.2% CLV1-0WON
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-09-04first seen 7m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—6-0LOST
Deportivo Santo Domingo vs CumbayaFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group2026-09-04first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Libertad Loja vs EmelecFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Kansas City Royals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-03first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—3:6WON
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-09-03first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—2-1WON
Leones del Norte vs OrenseFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 20m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV1-0WON
America de Cali vs Alianza FC ValleduparFootball · Serie A2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV3-0WON
Rayo Zuliano vs CaraboboFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-03first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.42 · −0.7% CLV4-3LOST
Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV1-1LOST
Real Sociedad vs CeltaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-03first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.90 · +6.7% CLV0-0LOST

2351–2375 of 3969· 2320 won / 1644 lost · −344.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7153 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.