Rosengard vs Laholms
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.50 · −4.5% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengard vs LaholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.50 · −4.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Norrkoping vs LjungskileFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hannover 96 vs KarlsruherFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.65 · +11.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vasas vs NyiregyhazaFootball · National League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.20 · +10.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Tekstilschik vs Torpedo MoscowFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| PK-35 Helsinki vs EIF EkenasFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.55 · −17.6% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Vejle vs Vendsyssel FFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Karvina vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.58 · +0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Spain (w) vs Germany (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived | — | 83-53 | WON |
| KalPa vs JukuritIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Belgium (w) vs Turkey (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 89-75 | WON |
| Polissya Zhytomyr vs KudrovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs AndijanFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.73 · +15.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.16 · −7.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| CSM Slatina vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.08 · +2.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Nasaf vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.87 · −5.1% CLV | 6-2 | LOST |
| Al Shamal vs Al ShahaniyaFootball · Stars League | first seen 3d 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.85 · −6.1% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| South Korea (w) vs Nigeria (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 99-81 | WON |
| USA (w) vs China (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 94-61 | WON |
| Syuniq vs Pyunik YerevanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.19 · +3.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| Bayswater City vs Olympic KingswayFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV | 5-3 | WON |
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