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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7148

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7153

7148 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−516.5u

over 7148u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256460.1%58%–62%58%–62%−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+10pp

18

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7148

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396958.5%−344.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Dender vs Seraing

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-6

2026-09-04 · first seen 11m before

Vitesse vs Oss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole Handball

Handball · Star League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived
Feed close
1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV
Score
41-22

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Almere City vs Jong Ajax

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFC

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball vs PSG Handball

Handball · Star League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV
Score
29-32

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Heracles Almelo vs De Graafschap

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.38 · −2.8% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Emmen vs FC Volendam

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Geneve Servette vs Eisbaren Berlin

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Davos vs Storhamar

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Richards Bay vs AmaZulu

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Adler Mannheim vs Vaxjo Lakers

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.40 · +4.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Shkendija vs Tikvesh 1930

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.32 · +3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor Fakkan

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 4h before

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Viborg vs Lyngby

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.77 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Lyon vs Auxerre

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Eagles Praha vs Draci Brno

Baseball · Extraliga. 3rd place. Best of 3

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Herning Blue Fox vs KooKoo

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

Frolunda vs SaiPa

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 30m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Dender vs SeraingFootball · Division 22026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV2-0WON
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-09-04first seen 11m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—7-6WON
Vitesse vs OssFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV2-1WON
Varazdin vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV0:0LOST
Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV41-22WON
Almere City vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV0-1LOST
Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV2:0LOST
Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball vs PSG HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV29-32WON
Heracles Almelo vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.38 · −2.8% CLV5-0WON
Emmen vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV5-3LOST
Geneve Servette vs Eisbaren BerlinIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV6-2WON
Davos vs StorhamarIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV3-2WON
Richards Bay vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV1-2WON
Adler Mannheim vs Vaxjo LakersIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.40 · +4.3% CLV3-1LOST
Shkendija vs Tikvesh 1930Football · Division 12026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.32 · +3.9% CLV1-3LOST
Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor FakkanFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV5-2WON
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV1-2WON
Viborg vs LyngbyFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.77 · −4.3% CLV2-1WON
Lyon vs AuxerreFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV3:1WON
Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV2-0LOST
Eagles Praha vs Draci BrnoBaseball · Extraliga. 3rd place. Best of 32026-09-04first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—3-2LOST
Istanbul Basaksehir vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV2-3WON
Herning Blue Fox vs KooKooIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV2-5WON
Frolunda vs SaiPaIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-04first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV6-1WON

2301–2325 of 3969· 2320 won / 1644 lost · −344.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7153 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.