Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7148

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7153

7148 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−516.5u

over 7148u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
30–40%avg claim 39%	4	—	—	—
40–50%avg claim 44%	94	42.6%33%–53%	33%–53%	−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%	1481	55.4%53%–58%	53%–58%	−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	2564	60.1%58%–62%	58%–62%	−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	2584	68.4%67%–70%	67%–70%	−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%	407	73.0%68%–77%	68%–77%	−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%	14	85.7%60%–96%	60%–96%	−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+10pp

18

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7148

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Match winner	3969	58.5%	−344.7u
Double chance	3184	67.8%	−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	1138	65.7%	−56.7u
League 1	542	64.6%	−37.7u
Superleague	508	60.4%	−67.9u
MLB MLB league page	369	59.6%	+31.4u
League 2	241	58.1%	−38.1u
Division 1	181	59.1%	−27.6u
Division 2	147	63.3%	−11.1u
Serie B	145	60.7%	−14.3u
Championship	122	63.1%	−10.5u
National league	117	55.2%	−21.2u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	114	60.5%	−12.0u
Serie A	103	53.4%	−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close: 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV
Score: 0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Fiorentino vs Virtus

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV
Score: 0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Tre Penne vs SS Cosmos

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.25 · −17.8% CLV
Score: 2-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close: 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score: 4-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Porto vs Moreirense

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.20 · +8.1% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Faetano vs Tre Fiori

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close: 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.07 · −0.9% CLV
Score: 0-4

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Football · Primera division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score: 2-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close: 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.50 · −5.1% CLV
Score: 0-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Finn Harps vs Athlone Town

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close: 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV
Score: 0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Larne vs Glentoran

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Lommel United vs Brugge

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close: 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Genoa vs Como

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
Score: 1:4

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV
Score: 1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Cardiff Metropolitan vs Cambrian United

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.88 · +9.3% CLV
Score: 2-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV
Score: 4-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close: 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 0-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 31m before

Stuttgart vs Köln

Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV
Score: 4:1

2026-09-04 · first seen 31m before

Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close: 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 31m before

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV
Score: 2-3

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Nafta Lendava vs NK Radomlje

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close: 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV
Score: 3-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900

Football · Challenge League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close: 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV
Score: 1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)

Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived
Feed close: —
Score: 54-63

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close: 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV
Score: 4-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca Ecuador

Football · Division 2. Championship Group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close: 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 16m before

Petrovac vs Sutjeska Niksic

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close: 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV
Score: 0-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 1m before

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
Shamrock Rovers vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived	1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV	0-0	LOST
Fiorentino vs VirtusFootball · Championship	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV	0-1	WON
Tre Penne vs SS CosmosFootball · Championship	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived	1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.25 · −17.8% CLV	2-0	WON
SP Domagnano vs San GiovanniFootball · Championship	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived	1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV	4-0	WON
Porto vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.20 · +8.1% CLV	2-1	WON
Faetano vs Tre FioriFootball · Championship	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived	1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.07 · −0.9% CLV	0-4	WON
Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo BuloFootball · Primera division	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived	1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV	2-0	WON
Ipswich Town vs LiverpoolFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27	2026-09-04first seen 1h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived	1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.50 · −5.1% CLV	0-2	WON
Finn Harps vs Athlone TownFootball · Division 1	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived	1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV	0-1	WON
Larne vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived	2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV	2-1	WON
Lommel United vs BruggeFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived	1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV	0-1	WON
Genoa vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived	1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV	1:4	WON
Connahs Quay vs HaverfordwestFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV	1-1	LOST
Cardiff Metropolitan vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League	2026-09-04first seen 46m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.88 · +9.3% CLV	2-2	LOST
Helmond Sport vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1	2026-09-04first seen 1m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived	2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV	4-2	LOST
Livingston vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship	2026-09-04first seen 31m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived	1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV	0-1	LOST
Stuttgart vs KölnFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27	2026-09-04first seen 31m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV	4:1	WON
Piast Gliwice vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague	2026-09-04first seen 31m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived	2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV	3-0	LOST
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived	2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV	2-3	LOST
Nafta Lendava vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived	2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV	3-1	WON
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived	1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV	1-1	LOST
Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived	—	54-63	WON
Winterthur vs Neuchatel XamaxFootball · Challenge League	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived	1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV	4-0	WON
Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2. Championship Group	2026-09-04first seen 16m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived	1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV	1-0	WON
Petrovac vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1	2026-09-04first seen 1m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived	2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV	0-0	LOST

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.