Bristol Rovers vs Rotherham
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.70 · +7.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.70 · +7.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Northampton Town vs Newport CountyFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Manchester City vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.15 · −4.2% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Brentford vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 5:1 | WON |
| Rosenborg vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hartlepool United vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.15 · +7.5% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Union BerlinFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Hoffenheim vs Borussia DortmundFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.25 · −15.1% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Sotra vs VidarFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.17 · +4.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| GAIS vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| ROHDA Raalte vs Kozakken BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.55 · +10.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Brattvag vs Kvik HaldenFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Hansa Rostock vs Wehen WiesbadenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Fredericia vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Bocholt vs Sportfreunde SiegenFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.45 · +15.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Waldhof Mannheim vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Skeid vs KjelsasFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Middelfart vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Lincoln City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Peterborough United vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 1 | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Wolfsburg vs Energie CottbusFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV | 4-4 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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