Stabaek vs Moss
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 53m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek vs MossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Tristan Suarez vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Saint Etienne vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.03 · −2.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.80 · −18.2% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Klagenfurt vs Fribourg-GotteronIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.32 · −10.2% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Coleraine vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Maritimo vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Alverca vs BragaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Schalke 04 vs BayernFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.16 · −3.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| The New Saints vs Barry TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Komarno vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.77 · +5.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Spartak Varna vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 38m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.43 · −6.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Young Boys vs FC LuzernFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.47 · +2.8% CLV | 2:4 | LOST |
| Academia Cantolao vs Deportivo LlacuabambaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 23m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.93 · +7.2% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Sekhukhune United vs TS GalaxyFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Lens vs LorientFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.50 · −12.3% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Ajka vs SoroksarFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Hohenems vs FC SchwazFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Riga Mariners vs RezekneFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.04-25001/250.04-25.00+0.04from 1.08 · +3.8% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| UTA Arad vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.