Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-9
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Cusco vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-6 | LOST |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Boyaca Chico vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-9 | LOST |
| Sport Huancayo vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 4.50 · +26.8% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Ottawa vs PacificFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.25 · +13.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rijeka vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Villarreal vs Deportivo La CorunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Willem II vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.30 · +7.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Novorizontino vs AvaiFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Roma vs AtalantaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.72 · +3.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.65 · −8.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo FlandriaFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Motor Lublin vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 14m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Danubio vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV | 0:3 | WON |
| Ajax vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1:3 | WON |
| AEK Athens vs Aris ThessalonikiFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.38 · +4.5% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
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