Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-Marinos
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · USL. League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.18 · −3.1% CLV | 1:3 | WON |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV | 3:2 | LOST |
| Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.82 · +2.2% CLV | 0:1 | LOST |
| LG Twins vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-10 | WON |
| Viktoria Zizkov vs PribramFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.50 · −18.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| SSG Landers vs Doosan BearsBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 9-16 | LOST |
| Broadmeadow Magic vs FC MaitlandFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 4-2 | LOST |
| Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte MarinesBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 8:2 | WON |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.40 · −5.4% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2:9 | LOST |
| Isidro Metapan vs IncaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Seattle Sounders vs New York Red BullsFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Dallas vs Sporting Kansas CityFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 5.40 · +285.7% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Union Omaha vs Charlotte IndependenceFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 1.70 · −54.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Fluminense RJ vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 0-5 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1-5 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.