New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Kristiansund vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.65 · −15.4% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ruzomberok vs Spartak TrnavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.70 · −20.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| Trabzonspor vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.55 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Muglaspor vs VansporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Jeunesse Esch vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Castellon vs AlbaceteFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bologna vs SassuoloFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.05 · +7.9% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.42 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Arsenal vs ChelseaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.71-14171/1000.71-1.41+0.71from 1.68 · −1.8% CLV | 0-5 | LOST |
| Kosice vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.57 · +6.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Basel vs LuganoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.50 · +13.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sion vs ThunFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| KF Ballkani vs FeronikeliFootball · Superliga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Valencia vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 5:2 | LOST |
| Kortrijk vs Zulte WaregemFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Progres Niederkorn vs RumelangeFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.52 · +1.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Lorenskog vs JunkerenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.80+28014/52.80+2.80-0.36from 3.65 · −3.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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