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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Chicago Red Stars (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Huachipato vs Colo Colo

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Zemun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.57 · +6.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Almeria vs Cadiz

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-10

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad Bolivar

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

CD Maipu vs Patronato Parana

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar

Football · Primera division

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Marseille vs Paris FC

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-09-06 · first seen 47m before

Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-6

2026-09-06 · first seen 37m before

San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril Midland

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 17m before

Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 17m before

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 12m before

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 12m before

Alianza Universidad vs Union Minas

Football · Division 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
3.95+29559/202.95+2.95-0.34from 3.10 · −21.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2m before

Loznica vs Teleoptik

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2m before

Penya Encarnada vs Atletic Escaldes

Football · Primera division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.40 · −15.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 21h before

Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs Kazma

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Baltika vs Lokomotiv Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:6

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Chicago Red Stars (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV0-6WON
Huachipato vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV0-0LOST
Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV0-1LOST
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs ZemunFootball · Superleague2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Union Brescia vs Desenzano CalvinaFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.57 · +6.8% CLV1-0WON
Almeria vs CadizFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-10WON
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
CD Maipu vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Independiente Petrolero vs BolivarFootball · Primera division2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Marseille vs Paris FCFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV2:3LOST
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 37m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-6LOST
San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV3-2WON
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV4-2WON
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets RazgradFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV1-2WON
Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV2-1WON
Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 12m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—2-3LOST
Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 12m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—6-1LOST
Alianza Universidad vs Union MinasFootball · Division 22026-09-06first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived3.95+29559/202.95+2.95-0.34from 3.10 · −21.5% CLV1-1LOST
Loznica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 12026-09-06first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV1-1LOST
Penya Encarnada vs Atletic EscaldesFootball · Primera division2026-09-06first seen 21h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.40 · −15.2% CLV1-1LOST
Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV2-3WON
Baltika vs Lokomotiv MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV0-1LOST
O'Higgins vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV2-1WON
Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1:6WON

2076–2100 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.