Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 7-2
· first seen 23m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Super Cup. Sofia
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 19h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · National League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regions Path. 1/32 Finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 17h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 3h before
Football · Quarter-finals. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 26h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25h before
Football · League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · National League. South
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 7-2 | WON |
| Ljungskile vs NorrbyFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.80 · −7.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Twente vs TelstarFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Barcelona vs FeyenoordFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.09 · +2.8% CLV | 5:1 | WON |
| Stuttgart vs VikingFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Levadia Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.12 · −2.6% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Levski Sofia vs CSKA SofiaFootball · Super Cup. Sofia | first seen 3d 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.95 · +55.3% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
| Spaeri vs FC RustaviFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.08 · +12.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Jablonec vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.95 · +8.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Kaluga vs UfaFootball · Regions Path. 1/32 Finals | first seen 2d 17h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Daejeon Citizen vs AnyangFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Hanwha Eagles vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 3-12 | LOST |
| Doosan Bears vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 9:16 | LOST |
| Internacional Palmira vs Atletico CaliFootball · Serie B | first seen 2d 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Boca Juniors vs Sao PauloFootball · Quarter-finals. First leg | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 26h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3-5 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 26h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Cuiaba vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B | first seen 2d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.70 · −6.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 25h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4:9 | LOST |
| Real Madrid vs Inter MilanFootball · League phase | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.63 · +3.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Bolton Wanderers vs West HamFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.62 · −4.7% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Hampton and Richmond Borough vs FarnboroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.35 · +9.3% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Wrexham vs BurnleyFootball · Championship | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Watford vs Preston North EndFootball · Championship | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.02 · −8.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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