Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2:1
· first seen 25m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt LakeFootball · MLS | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 4-6 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 11-7 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-2 | LOST |
| Atlanta United vs Orlando CityFootball · MLS | first seen 26h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.95 · −1.7% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-7 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 6-1 | WON |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs International de BogotaFootball · Cup. Round of 16 | first seen 25h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 5.10+41041/104.10+4.10-0.24from 3.05 · −40.2% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4:9 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 6:4 | WON |
| Deportes Recoleta vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportivo San Pedro vs Deportivo MixcoFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.80 · −8.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Boston River vs Colon MontevideoFootball · Cup. Group stage | first seen 46h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 4.05+30561/203.05+3.05-0.33from 4.90 · +21.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 9-2 | WON |
| San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 7-6 | LOST |
| Moreirense vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.19 · +6.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Deportivo Santani vs Independiente Campo GrandeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Athletics vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| St Johnstone vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Al Minaa vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dinamo Batumi vs Iberia 1999Football · National League | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.55 · +18.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Al Mokawloon vs Al Ahly CairoFootball · Premier League | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.