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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Alverca vs Rio Ave

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.93 · +10.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 5.00 · +233.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Wolverhampton vs West Bromwich

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Coleraine vs Limavady United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska Niksic

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

NC Dinos vs KIA Tigers

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
6:8

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 48m before

Arsenal (w) vs Manchester United (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.27 · +9.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

Frisk-Asker vs Valerenga

Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.90 · −4.0% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

Eldence vs Eibar

Football · Segunda Division

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.63 · −1.2% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

The New Saints vs Llandudno Town

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.17 · +11.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 33m before

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 18m before

Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Hussein

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

Slovacko vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.50 · +8.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

Farjestad vs Orebro

Ice Hockey · SHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV
Score
7-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-8

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Louisville City vs Loudoun United

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 6d 2h before

Drochtersen-Assel vs St. Pauli 2

Football · Regional League. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

Young Boys vs Servette

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 3m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Gimnasia La Plata vs BanfieldFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV2-2LOST
Universitatea Craiova vs FCSBFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV5-0WON
Alverca vs Rio AveFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.93 · +10.3% CLV1-0WON
Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 5.00 · +233.3% CLV1-2WON
Wolverhampton vs West BromwichFootball · Championship2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV4:2WON
Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi TiberiasFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Coleraine vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV1-0WON
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV0-2WON
Dinamo Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV2-0WON
NC Dinos vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—6:8WON
Kilmarnock vs HeartsFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 48m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV1-1LOST
Arsenal (w) vs Manchester United (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.27 · +9.5% CLV1-1LOST
Frisk-Asker vs ValerengaIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen2026-09-19first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.90 · −4.0% CLV1-4LOST
Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV2-0WON
Eldence vs EibarFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-19first seen 33m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV1-2WON
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.63 · −1.2% CLV0-1LOST
The New Saints vs Llandudno TownFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.17 · +11.4% CLV2-1WON
Charleroi vs Cercle BruggeFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 18m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV3-2WON
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al HusseinFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 3m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV3-3LOST
Slovacko vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.50 · +8.7% CLV2-2LOST
Farjestad vs OrebroIce Hockey · SHL2026-09-19first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV7-0WON
St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—5-8WON
Louisville City vs Loudoun UnitedFootball · USL2026-09-19first seen 6d 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV4:2WON
Drochtersen-Assel vs St. Pauli 2Football · Regional League. North2026-09-19first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV1-0WON
Young Boys vs ServetteFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV3-2WON

176–200 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.