Falkenbergs vs Osters IF
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.88 · +13.9% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 26m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Stars League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 19h before
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Stars League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 16h before
Basketball · VBA. Semi-finals. Best of 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · LMB. Final. Best of 7
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Cup. Round of 16
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkenbergs vs Osters IFFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.88 · +13.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs Diablos RojosBasketball · LNBP | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 75:81 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 10:3 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3:9 | WON |
| Viimsi vs FC ElvaFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Al Muharraq vs ManamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| GKS Tychy vs DavosIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3:2 | LOST |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs PaykanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KooKoo vs HK NitraIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.48 · −7.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2:7 | WON |
| Al Sailiya vs Al SaddFootball · Stars League | first seen 4d 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 11.00+100010/110.00+10.00-0.10from 7.90 · −28.2% CLV | 0:3 | LOST |
| Super Nova vs Tukums 2000Football · Virsliga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.00 · −9.1% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Dinamo Tbilisi vs MeshakhteFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Al Shamal vs Al WakrahFootball · Stars League | first seen 2d 16h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.30 · +9.5% CLV | 0:3 | LOST |
| Nha Trang Dolphins vs Saigon HeatBasketball · VBA. Semi-finals. Best of 3 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 75-77 | LOST |
| KIA Tigers vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Yokohama BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 1:3 | LOST |
| Toros de Tijuana vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Final. Best of 7 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 13-2 | WON |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.30 · +6.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles vs New York Red BullsFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| San Diego vs San Jose EarthquakesFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 3.75 · +137.3% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 14-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente MedellinFootball · Cup. Round of 16 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.55 · −2.7% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.