Opava vs Kladno
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4032
4031 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4031u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1514 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1532 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
928
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2030 | 68.6% | −84.9u |
| Match winner | 2002 | 60.3% | −131.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4032 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opava vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Polonia Bytom vs Pogon SiedlceFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Banik Most-Sous vs Teplice 2Football · League 3 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.53 · −7.3% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| MTK Budapest vs Puskas AcademyFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.65 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Slavia 2 Prague vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.57 · −3.7% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Shkendija Haracine vs SileksFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 2.02 · +13.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dordoi Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-AtaFootball · Premier league | first seen 34m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Gyeongnam vs DaeguFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 3.70 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Chungnam Asan vs Ansan GreenersFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Suwon Samsung Bluewings vs Gimhae CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hwaseong vs Seoul E-LandFootball · K League 2 | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.90 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| West Torrens Birkalla vs West AdelaideFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 9h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Adelaide City vs Playford City PatriotsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 9h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.62 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Gold Coast Rollers vs Ipswich FBasketball · NBL 1. North. Final. Best of 3 | first seen 9h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | — | 118-85 | WON |
| Adelaide Comets vs North Eastern MetroStarsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 8h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar (youth)Football · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Dunedin Thunder vs West Auckland AdmiralsIce Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV | 4-9 | LOST |
| Skycity Stampede vs Canterbury Red DevilsIce Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Diablos Rojos vs Freseros de IrapuatoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived | — | 82-86 | LOST |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos de la UATBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 98-76 | WON |
| Abejas de Leon vs Astros JaliscoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 83-95 | LOST |
| Portland (w) vs Toronto (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 97-83 | WON |
| Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 69-88 | LOST |
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