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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Usti nad Labem vs Vysocina Jihlava

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.98 · +1.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 3h before

FC Jazz vs KPV Kokkola

Football · League 2. Relegation group

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.43 · −5.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 3h before

FC Riga vs Auda Riga

Football · Virsliga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 2h before

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.95 · +8.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 2h before

Trinec vs Karvina

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 2h before

Santos San Luis vs Fuerza Regia

Basketball · LNBP

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
89:101

2026-09-12 · first seen 4h before

Ogre United vs FC Liepaja

Football · Virsliga

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Mashal Mubarek

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba SdE

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-12 · first seen 27m before

Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.01-100001/1000.01-100.00+0.01from 1.01 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 57m before

West Ham vs Wrexham

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
6:0

2026-09-11 · first seen 57m before

Buriram United vs Chiangrai United

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 4h before

Pisa vs Virtus Entella

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.70 · −6.6% CLV
Score
1:4

2026-09-11 · first seen 57m before

Sevilla vs Valencia

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-09-11 · first seen 57m before

Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz Suwon

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-7

2026-09-11 · first seen 3h before

Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes

Baseball · KBO

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-4

2026-09-11 · first seen 3h before

Xelaju vs Coban Imperial

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS Lodz

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.18 · +3.8% CLV
Score
1:2

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.08 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 27m before

Airbus UK vs The New Saints

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.20 · +1.7% CLV
Score
0:2

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Trollhattan vs Utsiktens

Football · Division 2. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV
Score
5:0

2026-09-11 · first seen 22m before

Mechelen vs Anderlecht

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Cork City vs Cobh Ramblers

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Burgos CF vs Ceuta

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-11 · first seen 27m before

USM Alger vs JS El Biar

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-10 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Usti nad Labem vs Vysocina JihlavaFootball · League 22026-09-11first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.98 · +1.5% CLV1-2LOST
FC Jazz vs KPV KokkolaFootball · League 2. Relegation group2026-09-11first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.43 · −5.9% CLV3-0WON
FC Riga vs Auda RigaFootball · Virsliga2026-09-11first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV2-2LOST
Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-11first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.95 · +8.3% CLV2-1WON
Trinec vs KarvinaFootball · League 22026-09-11first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV3-2LOST
Santos San Luis vs Fuerza RegiaBasketball · LNBP2026-09-12first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—89:101LOST
Ogre United vs FC LiepajaFootball · Virsliga2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV2-2LOST
Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV3-0WON
Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba SdEFootball · Premier League2026-09-12first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3:1WON
Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri SembilanFootball · Superleague2026-09-11first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.01-100001/1000.01-100.00+0.01from 1.01 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
West Ham vs WrexhamFootball · Championship2026-09-11first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV6:0WON
Buriram United vs Chiangrai UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV1-1LOST
Pisa vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B2026-09-11first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.70 · −6.6% CLV1:4LOST
Sevilla vs ValenciaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-11first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV1:0WON
Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO2026-09-11first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-7WON
Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO2026-09-11first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—6-4WON
Xelaju vs Coban ImperialFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV0-0LOST
Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS LodzFootball · League 12026-09-11first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.18 · +3.8% CLV1:2WON
Sport Recife vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B2026-09-11first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.08 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Airbus UK vs The New SaintsFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.20 · +1.7% CLV0:2WON
Trollhattan vs UtsiktensFootball · Division 2. South2026-09-11first seen 22m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV5:0WON
Mechelen vs AnderlechtFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV0:1WON
Cork City vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 12026-09-11first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV2:3LOST
Burgos CF vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-11first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV3:1WON
USM Alger vs JS El BiarFootball · League 12026-09-10first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV2-0WON

1901–1925 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.