Emmen vs De Graafschap
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Beerschot Wilrijk vs Lierse KempenzonenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.42 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Montpellier vs PauFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.85 · +2.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Eisbaren Berlin vs GrazIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Rapperswil-Jona vs Yverdon SportFootball · Challenge League | first seen 52m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.85 · +15.6% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Fremad Amager vs HIK HellerupFootball · 2 division | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lunds BK vs RosengardFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Besiktas vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Vaxjo Lakers vs TapparaIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.90 · −3.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| SC/ESV Parndorf vs FCM TraiskirchenFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.02 · −2.4% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Buchbach vs Bayern 2Football · Regional League. Bavaria | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 2.40 · +37.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburger 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.60 · +8.8% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| VSG Altglienicke vs ChemnitzerFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Eidsvold Turn vs Ullensaker/KisaFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.11 · −1.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Werder Bremen (w) vs Hamburger (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.42 · −3.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Admira Wacker Modling vs KapfenbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.45 · +16.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Roa (w) vs Valerenga (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 3-6 | WON |
| KaPa vs PK-35 HelsinkiFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.75 · +16.7% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| MAS Taborsko vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.67 · −6.2% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Pisek vs Dynamo Ceske BudejoviceFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3:8 | LOST |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 6:2 | WON |
| Hobro vs VejleFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
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