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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Estrella Roja vs Platense Puerto Cortes

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven

Football · USL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Fiorentino vs La Fiorita

Football · Championship

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.42 · −10.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Waterford vs FC Dundalk

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.40 · +10.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Flint Town United vs Cardiff Metropolitan

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.10 · −12.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Coleraine vs Ballymena United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.42 · +5.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Wexford vs Finn Harps

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Cambrian United vs Holywell Town

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.50 · +8.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Ammanford vs Caernarfon

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.17 · +8.3% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-09-11 · first seen 42m before

Selestat Alsace HB vs Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball

Handball · Star League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
33-32

2026-09-11 · first seen 27m before

Portalban/Gletterens vs Vevey Sports

Football · Liga Classic

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 27m before

Wacker Innsbruck vs Voitsberg

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 27m before

Konyaspor U19 vs Trabzonspor U19

Football · U19. Elit Ligi

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 4.70 · +27.0% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-09-12 · first seen 57m before

Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur

Football · Challenge League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.45 · +12.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 12m before

Rhein-Neckar Lowen vs HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

Handball · Bundesliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.27 · −2.3% CLV
Score
29-27

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Heracles Almelo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Dijon vs Laval

Football · Ligue 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Celik Zenica vs Radnik Bijeljina

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.12 · −7.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Chartres Metropole Handball vs Tremblay en France Handball

Handball · Star League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived
Feed close
2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
35-30

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Kaerjeng 97 vs Victoria Rosport

Football · Division Nationale

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt 04

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wurzburger Kickers

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.60 · +8.1% CLV
Score
6:2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

MC Oran vs CR Temouchent

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.53 · +4.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

VVV-Venlo vs Oss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-11 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Estrella Roja vs Platense Puerto CortesFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
New Mexico United vs Indy ElevenFootball · USL2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV2-2LOST
Fiorentino vs La FioritaFootball · Championship2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.42 · −10.1% CLV1-1LOST
Waterford vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.40 · +10.1% CLV1-1LOST
Flint Town United vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.10 · −12.5% CLV1-1LOST
Coleraine vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.42 · +5.2% CLV3-2WON
Wexford vs Finn HarpsFootball · Division 12026-09-11first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV1-3LOST
Cambrian United vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.50 · +8.7% CLV2-1WON
Ammanford vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.17 · +8.3% CLV0-5WON
Selestat Alsace HB vs Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-11first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV33-32LOST
Portalban/Gletterens vs Vevey SportsFootball · Liga Classic2026-09-11first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.85 · 0.0% CLV4-1LOST
Wacker Innsbruck vs VoitsbergFootball · League 12026-09-11first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV1-1LOST
Konyaspor U19 vs Trabzonspor U19Football · U19. Elit Ligi2026-09-12first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 4.70 · +27.0% CLV0:3LOST
Etoile-Carouge vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League2026-09-11first seen 12m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.45 · +12.4% CLV0-1WON
Rhein-Neckar Lowen vs HBW Balingen-WeilstettenHandball · Bundesliga2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.27 · −2.3% CLV29-27WON
Heracles Almelo vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 12026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV3-2WON
Dijon vs LavalFootball · Ligue 22026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV3-2WON
Celik Zenica vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.12 · −7.8% CLV3-2WON
NAC Breda vs Jong UtrechtFootball · Division 12026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV2-3LOST
Chartres Metropole Handball vs Tremblay en France HandballHandball · Star League2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV35-30WON
Kaerjeng 97 vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale2026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV5-0WON
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt 04Football · Bundesliga 32026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV0:1LOST
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wurzburger KickersFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.60 · +8.1% CLV6:2WON
MC Oran vs CR TemouchentFootball · League 12026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.53 · +4.1% CLV2-0WON
VVV-Venlo vs OssFootball · Division 12026-09-11first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON

1851–1875 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.