Stuttgarter Kickers vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
Football · Regional League. South-West
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.48 · −6.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Regional League. South-West
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Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgarter Kickers vs Barockstadt Fulda-LehnerzFootball · Regional League. South-West | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.48 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.38 · +6.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Transport United vs ParoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Verl vs MeppenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Songshan LongmenFootball · Superleague | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Nomme Kalju vs Trans NarvaFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.43 · +4.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Leyton Orient vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Harrogate Town vs TamworthFootball · National league | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Levadia Tallinn vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.11 · +3.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| FC Smiltene-BJSS vs Riga MarinersFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.15 · +9.5% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Hammarby Talang vs SollentunaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.28 · +0.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Metta/LU vs YFK VentspilsFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.02-50001/500.02-50.00+0.02from 1.03 · +1.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Bochum vs Greuther FurthFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Levanger vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Bihor Oradea vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.77 · −5.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Portimonense vs TondelaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.90 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Queensland Lions vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Grand final | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Blansko vs VitkoviceFootball · League 3 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.87 · −0.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| FA Povltavska vs Loko PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.02 · +12.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Yomiuri Giants vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 5-6 | LOST |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama BayStarsBaseball · NPB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
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