Marine vs Darlington
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league. North
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Borussia Dortmund vs PaderbornFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Mainz vs Eintracht FrankfurtFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.92 · +9.7% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Freiburg vs Borussia MonchengladbachFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Chippa United vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Strasbourg vs MonacoFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.12 · −3.6% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Polokwane City vs Kaizer ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.00 · +13.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cailungo vs Tre PenneFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| MP vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.78 · +6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Padova vs AscoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.15 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Rosengard (w) vs Uppsala (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.04-25001/250.04-25.00+0.04from 1.07 · +2.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Santa Clara U19 vs Mafra U19Football · U19. National league. Division 1 | first seen 14h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 3.80+28014/52.80+2.80-0.36from 3.95 · +3.9% CLV | 5:0 | LOST |
| JDFS Alberts vs ValmieraFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.95 · −5.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Quick Boys vs ROHDA RaalteFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.09 · +2.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Guairena vs General CaballeroFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.95 · +1.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| AmaZulu vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Vidar vs BjargFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.35 · +13.4% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Villefranche vs La Roche-sur-YonFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.17 · +8.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Orleans vs VersaillesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.60 · +4.0% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Ha Noi vs Song Lam Nghe AnFootball · V-league | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.38 · +10.4% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Annan Athletic vs Elgin CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Sochaux vs NantesFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.25 · −7.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Southampton vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Eik Tonsberg vs Pors GrenlandFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.05 · +5.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
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