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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Spennymoor Town vs Macclesfield

Football · National league. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Airdrieonians vs Alloa Athletic

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.75 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 12.00 · +837.5% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-12 · first seen 2h before

Al Salt vs Al Wehdat

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Gefle vs Järfälla

Football · Division 2. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.60 · +10.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Stockport County vs Leicester

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Boston United vs Wealdstone

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.97 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Liverpool vs Fulham

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.51-19651/1000.51-1.96+0.51from 1.45 · −4.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Boluspor vs Pendikspor

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.80 · −6.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

SV Wienerberg vs Wiener SK

Football · Regional League. East

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Athletic Bilbao vs Elche

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-12 · first seen 48m before

Braintree Town vs Maidstone United

Football · National League. South

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Hereford vs South Shields

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV
Score
6-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Chelsea vs Hull City

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 13.00 · +956.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Rochdale

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.67 · −3.5% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Swansea vs Burnley

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Inter Bratislava vs Petrzalka

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Morecambe vs Brackley Town

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

Radcliffe vs Oxford City

Football · National league. North

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-12 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Spennymoor Town vs MacclesfieldFootball · National league. North2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV1-1LOST
Raith Rovers vs ArbroathFootball · Championship2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV4-0WON
Airdrieonians vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 12026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.75 · −5.2% CLV1-0LOST
Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-09-12first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 12.00 · +837.5% CLV3:0LOST
Al Salt vs Al WehdatFootball · Premier League2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV0:3WON
Gefle vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.60 · +10.3% CLV3-1WON
Stockport County vs LeicesterFootball · League 12026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV3-4LOST
Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 12026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV0-0LOST
Boston United vs WealdstoneFootball · National league2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.97 · +3.7% CLV1-3LOST
Liverpool vs FulhamFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.51-19651/1000.51-1.96+0.51from 1.45 · −4.0% CLV0-0LOST
Boluspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 12026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV1-1LOST
Solihull Moors vs Aldershot TownFootball · National league2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.80 · −6.7% CLV1-2WON
SV Wienerberg vs Wiener SKFootball · Regional League. East2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV0-6WON
Athletic Bilbao vs ElcheFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-12first seen 48m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV0:0LOST
Braintree Town vs Maidstone UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV2-1LOST
Eastleigh vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Hereford vs South ShieldsFootball · National league. North2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV6-0WON
Chelsea vs Hull CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 13.00 · +956.9% CLV2-2LOST
Forest Green Rovers vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV4-0WON
Walsall vs RochdaleFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.67 · −3.5% CLV0-0LOST
Swansea vs BurnleyFootball · Championship2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV3-1WON
Inter Bratislava vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 22026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV4-0LOST
Morecambe vs Brackley TownFootball · National league. North2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV3-0WON
Aston Villa vs Nottingham ForestFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV1-2LOST
Radcliffe vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North2026-09-12first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV0-3WON

1776–1800 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.