Motherwell vs Falkirk
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Women. Major League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Bundesliga 3
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell vs FalkirkFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Charleroi vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hearts vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Baranovichi vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Paksi vs Budapest HonvedFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KPV Kokkola vs VJS VantaaFootball · League 2 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Pyunik Yerevan vs VanFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 2 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| PEC Zwolle vs AjaxFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Kilmarnock vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Malmo FF vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| KuPS Kuopio vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vejle vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 5-4 | WON |
| Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde LotteFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Hammarby vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Nurnberg vs Dynamo DresdenFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo MakhachkalaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Gent vs MechelenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| St. Pauli vs Greuther FurthFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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