Slovacko 2 vs Karvina 2
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovacko 2 vs Karvina 2Football · League 3 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 9-3 | WON |
| Doosan Bears vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 9-2 | WON |
| Samsung Lions vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 5-13 | LOST |
| Chindia Targoviste vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Chiba Lotte MarinesBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 7-4 | WON |
| Cruz Azul vs Club AmericaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.55 · +4.1% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Aguila San Miguel vs IncaFootball · Premier League | first seen 48m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Colorado Rapids vs MontrealFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.58 · −2.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FAS vs Alianza San SalvadorFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Olmecas de Tabasco vs Toros de TijuanaBaseball · LMB. Final. Best of 7 | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| St. Louis City vs Minnesota UnitedFootball · MLS | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Sporting Kansas City vs Los AngelesFootball · MLS | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Santos SP vs CruzeiroFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 3.00 · +9.1% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 12-2 | LOST |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 13-9 | WON |
| Birmingham Legion vs Charleston BatteryFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.25 · −1.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Palestino vs Universidad CatolicaFootball · Serie A | first seen 5d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Forward Madison vs Sarasota ParadiseFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 5.30+43043/104.30+4.30-0.23from 4.50 · −15.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Botev Vratsa vs Levski SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| The Strongest vs Real OruroFootball · Primera division | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| CS Constantine vs ASO ChlefFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Academico Viseu vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.70 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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