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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:3

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Levante vs Barcelona

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Swift Hesperange vs Residence Walferdange

Football · Division Nationale

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Vaxjo (w) vs Hammarby (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Randers vs Odense

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Spartak Moscow vs Rostov

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 5.30 · +253.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Dacia Buiucani vs Balti

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.15 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Polanka nad Odrou vs Vsetin

Football · League 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Rumelange vs Atert Bissen

Football · Division Nationale

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Stjarnan vs IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.70 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Eintracht Frankfurt (w) vs Hoffenheim (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Kairat Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Sileks vs Bregalnica Stip

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Arsenal (w) vs Crystal Palace (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Torpedo Moscow vs Nizhny Novgorod

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.45 · +6.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Leipzig vs Hamburger

Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Sol de America vs Fernando de la Mora

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea

Football · Division 2. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

Everton (w) vs Charlton Athletic (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

Rogle vs Tappara

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.83 · +1.7% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

Birmingham City (w) vs Brighton (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

Lille vs Troyes

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 57m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4:3LOST
New York Yankees vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—2:0LOST
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv PlovdivFootball · League 12026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV3:2WON
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer ShevaFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV1:1LOST
Levante vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV2-4WON
Swift Hesperange vs Residence WalferdangeFootball · Division Nationale2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV0-3WON
Vaxjo (w) vs Hammarby (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV0-3WON
Randers vs OdenseFootball · Superleague2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Spartak Moscow vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 5.30 · +253.3% CLV3-0WON
Dacia Buiucani vs BaltiFootball · Superleague2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.15 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Polanka nad Odrou vs VsetinFootball · League 32026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV0-3LOST
Rumelange vs Atert BissenFootball · Division Nationale2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV0-6WON
Stjarnan vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.70 · −4.0% CLV2-0WON
Eintracht Frankfurt (w) vs Hoffenheim (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
Kairat Almaty vs Tobol KostanayFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV1-4LOST
Sileks vs Bregalnica StipFootball · Division 12026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Arsenal (w) vs Crystal Palace (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Torpedo Moscow vs Nizhny NovgorodFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.45 · +6.5% CLV1-2LOST
Leipzig vs HamburgerFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV5-0WON
Sol de America vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 22026-09-13first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.97 · +1.0% CLV3-2WON
AFC Eskilstuna vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-13first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Everton (w) vs Charlton Athletic (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-13first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV1-0WON
Rogle vs TapparaIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-13first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.83 · +1.7% CLV4-0WON
Birmingham City (w) vs Brighton (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-13first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV2-2LOST
Lille vs TroyesFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV2-0WON

1601–1625 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.